當天計畫
建議:漲勢將會繼續,但可能發生早期整合的風險
阻力:1.5650-60 1.5674 1.5686-03 1.5731
支持:1.5620 1.5590 1.5576 1.5556
主要原因分析:回復修正停滯在1.5665-86目的地區域的中間,這是比預期更深的修正 - 達到1.5576。我對這一點感到相當懷疑,覺得有一個三角形走勢在1.5590到1.5650-60之間發展的風險。如果1.5590-95價位在白天的早段完成這一反彈,這將提高該三角形走勢發生的可能性。而直接升至1.5665-74我們將會看到收益的恢復。正如昨天提到的,這應該會看到反彈至1.5797的位置。然而,如果要看到反彈直接恢復將是困難的。三角形走勢將有更大機會到達這一目標。基本上存在一個處於1.5763-97之間的目標範圍,並且在此範圍內的任何地方都是不錯的選擇。
反向分析:下破1.5576和1.5550點位元將涉及並顯示:有一個回落走勢至1.5450低位 - 而且可能表明上升趨勢結束了...
中期分析:
7月13日:我們看到建設性的成果,這應該歸於1.5570-1.5625區域的臨時修正。一旦修正徹底完成則接下來的回升需要到達1.5763-97的區域。
只有跌破1.5400點位才會帶來一些問題。
交易順利!
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR GBPUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: Gains should continue but allow for the risk of early consolidation
Resistance: 1.5650-60 1.5674 1.5686-03 1.5731
Support: 1.5620 1.5590 1.5576 1.5556
MAIN ANALYSIS: The rally stalled midway in the 1.5665-86 target area for a correction that was deeper than expected - reaching 1.5576. I am rather suspicious about this and feel there is a risk of a triangle developing between 1.5590 and 1.5650-60. If 1.5590-95 is reached early in the day and bounces, this would raise the likelihood of the triangle. Directly above 1.5665-74 would see gains resume. As mentioned yesterday, this should see a rally to 1.5797. However, this would be difficult if the rally resumed directly. With a triangle there is more chance of reaching that target. Basically there is a target range between 1.5763-97 and anywhere in this range will be fine.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: A break below 1.5576 and 1.5550 would concern and suggest a move back down to the 1.5450 low - and could suggest that the uptrend is over…
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
13th July: We are seeing constructive gains and this should see a temporary correction from the 1.5570-1.5625 area. Once that correction is complete the next rally needs to reach the 1.5763-97 area.
Only back below 1.5400 would bring some concern.
Good trading
Ian Copsey