英倫金融：歐元兌日元日內走勢預測

歐元兌日元日內走勢預測
日內圖
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BIAS：恢復跌勢之前，延續橫向盤整走勢
阻力位
125.76-80
126.13-43
126.61
126.90
支撐位
125.50-54
125.09
124.73
124.51
主要分析：今天美元兌日元和歐元兌美元的走勢發展曲折，呈現的聯動情況較緩慢。似乎要發展成三角形之類的整理形態，意味著將會出現較長時期的橫向走勢，波動區間範圍在122.06和127.28之間。現在我們需要嘗試明確的是，更大級別，更複雜的修正行情的出現。目前應出現三角形態中的最後一個價格腿，為了恢復下跌走勢，價格將重回126.13-43區間。同時需要日元或者歐元提供其價格運行進展的動力。一旦價格失守125.09，將會出現進一步下跌。
反向分析：如價格突破126.61上方，將有繼續上行測試上方127.30高位的壓力。如價格突破該阻力後或會再進一步上漲。在這一點上我選擇保持中立態度看待。下破125.54-66將有助於價格繼續下行到125.09-20區間。
中期分析：3月18日：看起來似乎在浪[iv]上將會出現一個複雜的修正走勢。可以是平臺型，延展平臺型或者三角形，走勢情況需要時間展現出來…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文：
DAILY FORECAST FOR EURJPY
INTRADAY CHART:
BIAS: Initial development should be sideways before losses resume
Resistance: 125.76-80 126.13-43 126.61 126.90
Support: 125.50-54 125.09 124.73 124.51
MAIN ANALYSIS: That was a difficult day with both USDJPY and EURUSD generally moving in rough tandem. It appears this is developing in a triangle and as such, what it implies is that we shall see a long period of sideways trading between 122.06 and 127.28. What we need now is to try and identify the larger complex correction. For now we should see the final leg of a triangle back to the 126.13-43 area for losses to resume. We shall have to see which (or both) of JPY or EUR that drives that process. Once below 125.09 we should see further slippage lower...
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only an earlier break above 126.61 would pressure the 127.30 high. If this breaks it would annoy. I'd prefer to remain neutral at that point to assess the individual pairs. A break below 125.54-66 would assist lower and back to 125.09-20 at least…
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
18th March: It looks like we're going to see a complex correction in the Wave [iv]. Which of a flat, expanded flat or triangle it will be needs more development....
Good trading
Ian Copsey