英倫金融：懶洋洋的好處--行情走勢預測

結構形態緩慢的發展是最難以判斷的環節。在狹小的空間裡，有太多細小的價格迂回，上漲和下跌走勢。但至少方向是穩定的，並且總體上也給予了美元的上漲空間。即使美元兌日元也出現較大幅度的上行並嘗試回到上週四的高位。我想自信地說今天的走勢將會有更多進展…但我辦不到。然而，在歐元兌美元，美元兌瑞士法郎的價格運行情況上，我們至少接近了首個反轉目標，雖然英鎊兌美元仍然要些時間，
“然而”…擁有其中一個“然而”總是有好處的．．．一個潛在的積極結果是美元持續的上行走勢已挑戰了４小時級別的價格均衡雲圖。這已經出現了一些試探性的進展，試圖展現美元突破上方看漲的價格雲圖壓制。至少，傾向於提示一個積極的結果，但美元需要更多的運行活力以便盡可能地加速運行…可能出現的是，在歐盤開市之前，不會有更多的後續發展。
即使美元兌日元已設法進一步往週四高點靠近，並且實際上也協助了歐元兌日元往更高的點位運行發展－或者更多的橫向震盪整理走勢發展。美元兌日元在４小時的價格均衡雲圖中也體現了上行破位並陷入未確定走勢當中。有些神秘的價格結構從110.97低位元開始形成，並伴隨一個日線級別的看漲背離信號，結合足夠的價格運行量能，我們觀察一下看看價格能上行到哪個高點。這令歐元兌日元處於令人困惑的狀態，價格出現輕微的背離但可能會忽然出現改變，轉變成比較複雜的結構。我建議小心處理交叉貨幣對，結合大週期走勢情況來看，提示將出現一個長期，複雜的橫向整理走勢。
今天仍採用穩定埃迪的交易模式，除非市場忽然活躍起來…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文：
A preponderance of lethargy
Ultra-slow development in a structure is one of the most difficult to judge. There are too many mini-minor twists and turns, ups and downs and in my lady’s chamber. At least the direction was consistent and provided gains in the Dollar overall. Even USDJPY managed to take a deep breath and tried to make it back towards last Thursday’s high. I’d like to say with confidence that today could be more progressive… but I can’t. However, we are, at least, approaching the first reversal targets in EURUSD, USDCHF – although GBPUSD still has a way to go.
However… and it’s always good to have one of those “howevers”… a potentially positive outcome was the persistent Dollar gains that have challenged the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds. This has seen tentative steps in attempting to see Dollar bullish breaks of these Clouds. At least, it tends to suggest a positive outcome but the Dollar needs to be a little more feisty to increase any possible acceleration… It’s probably likely that there’ll not be much follow-through until the European session.
Even USDJPY has managed to approach last Thursday’s high and actually helped EURJPY to edge higher – or more in a choppy sideways move. This has seen USDJPY break above the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Cloud and into an unknown. The structure since the 110.97 low is somewhat cryptic but with a daily bullish divergence, along with positive momentum we need see how high this can go. This places EURJPY in a puzzling moment that had been looking slightly bearish but may well suddenly see the structure morph into a more complicated structure. I’d suggest care with the cross with the larger picture suggesting a long, messy sideways move.
Steady Eddie trading again today unless the market suddenly comes alive…
Good trading
Ian Copsey