日內圖
BIAS:價格走勢或會出現反轉上行到122.95-15點位元的情況,又或者出現下探121.66-95區間的橫向整固走勢情況。
阻力位
122.95-15
123.36
123.61
124.06
支撐位
122.32
122.13
121.66-95
121.30-40
主要分析:昨日價格運行延續收復之前跌勢,觸及122.90點位,隨後回落到122.32。價格運行範圍內往任一個方向突破將會呈現兩種不同的境況。
價格上行觸及122.95-15區間應能完成平臺浪的修正走勢,收復之前的跌勢。希望美元兌日元能給其價格運行帶來驅動…
反向分析:如昨日所述,今天的備選方案—價格如下破122.30將會引發下跌走勢的展開,以不規則三角形的方式運行,觸及大概121.90-95區間,然後出現往更高點位的最終修正走勢。從這個高點開始,價格或會下行到120.38-70…不排除進一步下行到119.90。
任何直接上破123.25-30的價格運行將令走勢情況變得複雜,但我懷疑不應在這種情況下去嘗試做交易,因為價格已接近日線級別的低點,應更多地關注價格階段性最終底部的出現…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文:
OUTLOOK FOR EURJPY
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: We should either see a move up to 122.95-15 for a reversal or a dip to 121.66-95 in a sideways consolidation
Resistance: 122.95-15 123.36 123.61 124.06
Support: 122.32 122.13 121.66-95 121.30-40
MAIN ANALYSIS: The recovery continued over the day to reach 122.90 followed by a pullback to 122.32. A break of either side of the range will provide one of two scenarios:
A move up to 122.95-15 should complete the expanded flat correction from where losses should resume. We can expect USDJPY to drive this I think...
COUNTER ANALYSIS: As suggested in yesterday's alternative - a break below 122.30 would risk losses in an irregular triangle to around 121.90-95 for one final correction higher. From this high we should see losses 120.38-70… I cannot rule out as deep as 119.90.
Any direct break above 123.25-30 would complicate things but rather than try and trade about this, I suspect that, because we're due a daily low, we should focus more on looking for a final base...
Good trading
Ian Copsey