英倫金融：漫長而曲折的價格運行道路—行a情走勢預測

…市場的運行發展至今沒有走太遠…有時我在想，在令人抓狂的，毫無意義的蜿蜒走勢行情當中，市場是如何打發這些空檔時間的，總體來看還是維持基本的價格結構範圍內。然而，回顧昨日的行情走勢，歐元兌美元和美元兌瑞士法郎的價格運行幾乎要觸及4小時價格均衡雲圖，理論上應會出現壓制區間，以便美元恢復上行走勢—毫無疑問，這是個非常，非常…非常緩慢的發展過程。
英鎊兌美元成功突破1.4513後，觸發了另一個可能的整固走勢出現。價格也可能會展開進一步上行，懷疑走勢會持續一周或超過一周的時間，之後預期價格會重回今天的水準。因此，基本確定價格將可能保持一段時間的緩慢震盪運行走勢—我懷疑會持續2-4周的時間。
澳元的走勢看起來幾乎沒有太大變化。昨天的價格運行創出小新低—價格會有進一步下行的風險-除了仍會持續一段時間的盤整走勢之外，價格整體的上行走勢應會繼續保持。過程中最痛苦的是，較慢的價格發展進程令人昏昏欲睡…
美元兌日元，昨日的走勢已經觸及了目標區間。不排除價格會進一步下跌，現在價格運行已來到了多空分水嶺的關鍵位置。我留意到歐元兌日元也正位於需要進一步的上行推動的點位，否則價格走勢將重回舊路。這些情況我也在昨天的報告中提及了。因此，關注歐元兌美元和美元兌日元走勢之間的平衡情況，並留意雙方的價格運行壓制位。可能會有些棘手的情況出現,除非出現了明確的價格破位…
似乎今天又是另外一個走勢緩慢的一天…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文：
The long and winding road
… which so far hasn’t got us very far… Sometimes I wonder how the market can utilise empty
space with such maddening, meaningless meandering, yet maintaining an underlying structure. However, yesterday’s backtracking has merely been met by the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds in EURUSD and USDCHF that should maintain a barrier to allow the Dollar upside to resume – and no doubt very, very and err… very slowly…
That GBPUSD managed to break above 1.4513 has generated an alternative to the consolidation. Having said that, while there could be some further upside, I doubt it will be by much and over the coming week or so I suspect we’ll be back below today’s levels. Thus, we can remained assured that there will likely still be ratcheting swings for some while to come – I suspect for 2-4 weeks.
The Aussie looks pretty much the same. While it made minor new lows yesterday – and there’s even risk of further minor lows – the upside should resume but expect the broad swings continue for some while. What has been most painful is the slow development that has me falling asleep in front of the screen…
USDJPY hit targets yesterday. I can’t rule out further losses but there’s now a fine line between bullish and bearish. I note that EURJPY is at a point where it needs to follow-through higher
else suffer relapse. This was the point I mentioned in yesterday’s report. Thus, watch the
balance between EURUSD and USDJPY and be aware of the limits on both sides of the market. This could be a bit tricky unless a clear break is seen…
It looks like another slow day…
Good trading
Ian Copsey