英倫金融：走勢穩定的一天—市場走勢預測

市場是時候該開始穿上溜冰鞋了。也許美元兌日元已領先走出行情—但還沒確定。至少，還未能確定…我期待今天能出現一些一致性的雙向運行走勢，但希望不會像昨天那樣發展緩慢，歐元兌美元上串下跳的價格走勢表現如同心電圖一般。這足以能令4小時級別和1小時級別的價格均衡雲圖在歐盤時段呈現走平勢態並貼近緩慢的價格運行。或許對於美元的上行需要增加多一些的壓力，但我還沒能看到價格運行的巨大爆發…這往往意味著亞盤時段仍會出現慣常的行情走勢，無精打采，並運行緩慢—然後在後半天的時間裡呈現多一些的走勢發展。除非期間有些催化因素出現，否則即便在後半天的時間裡，走勢可能也是沒有太大的變化，但會開始測試衝破均衡雲圖並展開潛在的後續走勢。
英鎊兌美元跌破下方的支撐，預示後市或可能出現略微下行。但是，在1小時和4小時的價格圖表裡已開始出現看漲背離信號的走勢表現。顯然我們需要考慮配合結構發展，結合背離信號來尋求更好的進場點位。
一路下行的澳元走勢完全精准命中了我的投影目標。雖然仍有下行空間，但今天應會出現價格回檔。然後自回檔高點開始，4小時價格均衡雲圖傾向下行並伴隨價格運行動能減緩現象的出現。因此，我們需要謹慎看待今天早些時段的行情發展，以便均衡雲圖進一步走平。
最後說到日元貨幣對，美元兌日元的表現異軍突起，價格運行呈現穩定的上行走勢。從這一點來看，我感覺將出現的是價格修正走勢而不是推動浪走勢。行情發展仍需要另外一個新高出現，並結合價格同時位於小時級別和4小時級別價格均衡雲圖上方的情況考慮，估計美元兌日元和歐元兌日元的運行在今天會受到支撐。
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文：
Another steady day…
It’s about time the market began to put its skates on. Well, perhaps USDJPY may have set the lead – but I’m not so sure. At least, not yet… However, I am expecting some general two-way movement today but hopefully not as slow as yesterday, EURUSD jumping up and down like heart monitor. This has enabled both 4-hour and hourly Price Equilibrium Clouds in the Europeans to flatten out and hug the languid price development. It probably needs a little more pressure on the Dollar upside but I can’t see a massive explosion… This tends to suggest a regular Asian session, sleepy and slow – and followed by a little more action by the second half of the day. Unless there is some catalyst, even the second half of the day could be similar but begin to test out those Clouds and potentially follow-through.
GBPUSD slipped below key supports and could extend losses a little further. However, it is beginning to sport bullish divergences in both hourly and 4-hour charts. Obviously we’ll have to match the structure with the divergences to provide a better entry.
Down in the Down Under, the Aussie hit my projection target on the dot. While there is still further to go, today should see a pullback higher. Here the 4-hour Price Equilibrium Cloud is still declining with some pretty bearish 4-hour momentum. We therefore need to exercise caution in the early part of the day to allow the Clouds to flatten out.
Finally coming to the JPY pairs, USDJPY suddenly decided that it didn’t want to go down any more and made some steady gains. At this point, I feel we are seeing a correction rather than an impulsive wave. It does still need another new high and with price now above both hourly & 4-hour Price Equilibrium Clouds, we should see both USDJPY and EURJPY supported over the day.
Good trading
Ian Copsey