日內圖
BIAS:價格走勢出現下跌之前,應會重回0.7367-05區間(最高觸及0.7426-45範圍)。
阻力位
0.7295-00
0.7319-33
0.7367
0.7390-05
支撐位
0.7244
0.7219
0.7190
0.7150-65
主要分析:浪iii出現在理想點位0.7242上方2個點左右的位置,即0.7244…因此,目前我們需要價格出現修正到0.7367-0.7430的走勢(最高觸及0.7437)。當價格運行逐步發展時,留意看跌信號的出現。這應該會以3浪形式下行到大概0.7150-90之間的點位。從此價格區域,預期會出現往更高點位運行的深度修正走勢
反向分析:價格如出現直接上行到0.7450上方的意外情況,將會令價格走勢重回上升軌道…上方阻力位0.7478和0.7500-13的阻力強度一般,較強阻力位在0.7545-55範圍。
價格運行直接跌破0.7240,將意味著走勢發展與預期結構不相符,需要關注價格運行的動能情況。
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文:
OUTLOOK FOR AUDUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: We should now see a move back to 0.7367-05 (max 0.7426-45) for losses
Resistance: 0.7295-00 0.7319-33 0.7367 0.7390-05
Support: 0.7244 0.7219 0.7190 0.7150-65
MAIN ANALYSIS: The Wave iii was satisfied 2 points above the ideal 0.7242 - at 0.7244... Thus, we are now in a correction that should reach the 0.7367 area initially but later I feel the 0.7390-0.7430 area (max 0.7437). Thus, as this is approached, watch for bearish reversal indications. This should prompt a 3-wave decline down to somewhere between 0.7150-90 approx. From here we shall need to expect a deeper correction higher.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only directly above 0.7450 would surprise and mess everything up… There are minor barriers at 0.7478 and 0.7500-13 - and stronger at 0.7545-55
Only directly below 0.7240 would imply that I have the wrong structure and we'll have to watch momentum conditions.
Good trading
Ian Copsey