日內圖
BIAS: 價格恢復上行走勢之前,需要確認價格低點出現的位置。
阻力位
0.7769 ——0.7785-90 ——0.7834 ——0.7848
支撐位
0.7732 ——0.7699 ——0.7679 ——0.7660
主要分析:價格運行經歷了另一個走勢發展困難的一天,昨天價格創出一個小新高,隨後急速下跌至0.7732。依據回撤比例(50%)可以開始考慮,價格是否將會直接收復跌勢或者展開更深度的回檔。感覺0.7785-90區間有一定程度的阻力,我並不認為從0.7732開始的反彈是屬於推動走勢。因此,我傾向於價格繼續下探低點的另一個預期,價格運行到0.7732下方並且或觸及到0.7679-99區間。
留意看漲反轉信號的出現,將引發價格繼續上行至更高點位,0.7800上方並進一步回到0.7834上方。之前的投影目標0.7912和0.7940保持不變。
反向分析:價格只要跌破0.7655-60,將預示有進一步下滑到0.7618-31低點的風險,但也可能進一步擴大下行走勢,甚至至少會觸及到0.7570低位…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文:
DAILY FORECAST FOR AUDUSD
INTRADAY CHART:
BIAS: We need to confirm a low for gains to resume
Resistance: 0.7769 0.7785-90 0.7834 0.7848
Support: 0.7732 0.7699 0.7679 0.7660
MAIN ANALYSIS: Another difficult day with a minor new high but then the sharp drop that reached 0.7732. In terms of a retracement (50%) we have to start considering whether price will resume gains directly or from a deeper retracement. I feel the 0.7785-90 area has decent resistance and I'm not yet convinced that the recovery from 0.7732 is impulsive. Therefore, I probably favour another dip lower, below 0.7732 and down to between 0.7679-99. Watch for bullish reversal indications that should trigger gains back higher, above 0.7800 and back to 0.7834 and above. The 0.7912 and 0.7940 projection targets remain intact.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only a break below 0.7655-60 would risk slippage down to 0.7618-31 but may well extend even deeper back to 0.7570 at least…
Good trading
Ian Copsey