英倫金融：英鎊兌美元日內走勢預測

英鎊兌美元日內走勢預測
日內圖

​BIAS：結構出現傾向于上行發展的更大的區間震盪範圍，但重心應該稍微低一些。
阻力位
1.4276
1.4293-97
1.4322
1.4347
支撐位
1.4225-50
1.4196
1.4170
1.4140
主要分析：價格上行突破1.4321，基本排除了延續下行驅動浪走勢的可能。不過，我希望價格能出現下行調整，但這似乎會以複雜修正形態的方式體現。允許價格仍有些上漲的走勢出現，之後價格或會自高點1.4347附近向1.4300-22區間運行，但總體而言，應會出現較明確的下跌走勢，價格或會觸及1.3993左右的區間。一旦下行走勢結束，價格將會往更高點位運行發展。
反向分析：也需要考慮另外一種情況出現的可能性。因為價格從1.4004開始恢復上行是以3浪的形式展開，因此有出現複雜修正的風險。如價格在1.4004低位能再次得到有效支撐的話，價格運行將有機會反轉到更高點位的可能，以另外一種複雜的修正形式推進。因此，從目前價格運行情況表現來看，需要警惕風險出現，最好仔細觀察看跌結構的發展情況-推動形式還是修正形式…
中期分析：4月13日：橫向區間交易方式或會持續到5月份…
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文：
DAILY FORECAST FOR GBPUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: The structure has a wide range of upside possibilities but the emphasis should be lower
Resistance: 1.4276 1.4293-97 1.4322 1.4347
Support: 1.4225-50 1.4196 1.4170 1.4140
MAIN ANALYSIS: The break above 1.4321 has basically broken any chance of a direct follow-through in an impulsive decline. However, I do expect losses but this appears to be more in a complex corrective pattern. There is room for a break above the 1.4347 high towards the 1.4300-22 area - so allow for it - but overall we should be looking for quite firm losses that could reach around the 1.3993 area (+/-). Once this decline is complete we shall require another correction higher and could be quite deep.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: There is one alternative outcome that we must also consider. Because the recovery from 1.4004 came in 3-legs, there is the risk of a complex correction here also. If that 1.4004 low holds again, there is a chance of a reversal higher in a possible alternative complex correction. Therefore, as can be seen, there are quite a few risks to watch out for and therefore it'll be best to observe carefully to how the bearish structure develops - impulsive or corrective...
MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:
13th April: Risk is for a period of sideways range trading that could last into May...
Good trading
Ian Copsey