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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.7x - 8.5x | 8.1x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6.4x - 7.1x | 6.8x |
Fair Value | $31.78 - $36.05 | $33.92 |
Upside | 26.5% - 43.5% | 35.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Assertio Holdings, Inc. | ASRT | NasdaqCM:ASRT |
Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. | XERS | NasdaqGS:XERS |
Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | SUPN | NasdaqGM:SUPN |
Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc. | PBH | NYSE:PBH |
Corcept Therapeutics Incorporated | CORT | NasdaqCM:CORT |
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | AMPH | NasdaqGS:AMPH |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
ASRT | XERS | SUPN | PBH | CORT | AMPH | ||
NasdaqCM:ASRT | NasdaqGS:XERS | NasdaqGM:SUPN | NYSE:PBH | NasdaqCM:CORT | NasdaqGS:AMPH | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -44.5% | NM- | -1.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 70.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -53.2% | NM- | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 39.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -90.3% | 51.1% | 44.3% | -5.0% | 27.2% | 8.7% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 29.3% | -370.0% | 24.4% | 33.6% | 29.8% | 23.9% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 35.0% | -19.3% | 16.2% | 33.7% | 22.5% | 36.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.1% | -7.6% | 21.4% | 33.2% | 20.4% | 35.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 4.1% | -7.6% | 21.4% | 32.3% | 20.4% | 35.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | -0.01x | 4.30x | 2.10x | 4.46x | 10.27x | 2.13x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.3x | -56.4x | 9.8x | 13.8x | 50.3x | 6.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 0.1x | -31.7x | 22.7x | 15.1x | 50.6x | 7.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -56.4x | 9.8x | 50.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.0x | 14.9x | 34.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 8.1x | 8.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 258 | 258 | 258 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,986 | 2,091 | 2,195 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (418) | (418) | (418) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,568 | 1,673 | 1,777 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 33.01 | 35.21 | 37.41 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 33.01 | 35.21 | 37.41 | 25.12 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 31.4% | 40.2% | 48.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ASRT | XERS | SUPN | PBH | CORT | AMPH | |
Enterprise Value | (2) | 925 | 1,388 | 5,087 | 7,245 | 1,611 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 100 | 72 | 454 | 51 | 383 | 222 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 11 | |
(-) Debt | (40) | (271) | (34) | (1,027) | (7) | (651) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 58 | 726 | 1,808 | 4,111 | 7,841 | 1,193 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 95.8 | 156.4 | 55.8 | 49.5 | 106.0 | 47.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.61 | 4.64 | 32.39 | 82.98 | 73.94 | 25.12 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.61 | 4.64 | 32.39 | 82.98 | 73.94 | 25.12 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |