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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12.7x - 14.1x | 13.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.1x - 8.9x | 8.5x |
| Fair Value | €24.29 - €29.87 | €27.08 |
| Upside | 4.2% - 28.2% | 16.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| NORMA Group SE | NOEJ | XTRA:NOEJ |
| KION GROUP AG | KGX | XTRA:KGX |
| DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft | DEZ | XTRA:DEZ |
| LEWAG Holding Aktiengesellschaft | KGR | DB:KGR |
| Traton SE | 8TRA | XTRA:8TRA |
| Stabilus SE | STM | XTRA:STM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| NOEJ | KGX | DEZ | KGR | 8TRA | STM | ||
| XTRA:NOEJ | XTRA:KGX | XTRA:DEZ | DB:KGR | XTRA:8TRA | XTRA:STM | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -16.1% | 2.8% | -16.4% | -9.2% | 18.2% | 1.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -15.2% | 0.7% | 12.9% | 80.1% | 51.3% | 0.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -46.5% | -32.8% | -83.7% | -11.6% | -14.4% | -14.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 6.2% | 11.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.8% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.74x | 1.31x | 0.80x | 1.33x | 0.82x | 0.98x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 10.1x | 20.7x | 20.8x | 6.4x | 6.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 19.8x | 29.6x | 273.7x | 35.4x | 10.1x | 12.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 10.1x | 29.6x | 273.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | 11.3x | 25.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.7x | 13.4x | 14.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 104 | 104 | 104 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,319 | 1,389 | 1,458 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (710) | (710) | (710) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 610 | 679 | 749 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 24.68 | 27.50 | 30.31 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 24.68 | 27.50 | 30.31 | 23.30 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 30.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NOEJ | KGX | DEZ | KGR | 8TRA | STM | |
| Enterprise Value | 843 | 14,565 | 1,468 | 168 | 37,557 | 1,285 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 108 | 620 | 59 | 8 | 2,279 | 126 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 109 | 41 | 0 | 1,827 | 6 | |
| (-) Debt | (446) | (7,742) | (319) | (27) | (25,878) | (811) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (0) | (18) | (1) | (0) | (5) | (31) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 505 | 7,533 | 1,250 | 149 | 15,780 | 576 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.9 | 131.1 | 138.8 | 4.8 | 500.0 | 24.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 15.86 | 57.45 | 9.01 | 31.40 | 31.56 | 23.30 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.86 | 57.45 | 9.01 | 31.40 | 31.56 | 23.30 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |