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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
Fair Value | €4.60 - €5.61 | €5.10 |
Upside | 26.3% - 54.1% | 40.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
DATRON AG | DAR | XTRA:DAR |
Mühlbauer Holding AG | MUB | XTRA:MUB |
KSB SE & Co. KGaA | KSB | XTRA:KSB |
Aumann AG | AAG | XTRA:AAG |
Alexanderwerk Aktiengesellschaft | ALXA | DB:ALXA |
STS Group AG | SF3 | XTRA:SF3 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
DAR | MUB | KSB | AAG | ALXA | SF3 | |||
XTRA:DAR | XTRA:MUB | XTRA:KSB | XTRA:AAG | DB:ALXA | XTRA:SF3 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 2.8% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | -6.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 14.9% | 17.9% | 8.6% | 24.9% | 14.7% | 6.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -1.4% | 21.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | -19.9% | 11.2% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.4% | 12.9% | 5.9% | -2.0% | 21.0% | 0.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 21.6% | 2.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.3% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 31.3% | 2.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 30.5% | 2.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.63x | 1.21x | 0.45x | 0.11x | 1.36x | 0.17x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 7.7x | 13.4x | 5.4x | 1.2x | 4.5x | 6.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.48x | 1.30x | 0.48x | 0.54x | 1.46x | 0.08x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.11x | 0.63x | 1.36x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 0.19x | 0.30x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.21x | 0.22x | 0.23x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 320 | 320 | 320 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 67 | 70 | 74 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (32) | (32) | (32) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 34 | 38 | 41 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 5.31 | 5.85 | 6.40 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.31 | 5.85 | 6.40 | 3.64 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 45.9% | 60.8% | 75.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DAR | MUB | KSB | AAG | ALXA | SF3 | |
Enterprise Value | 39 | 560 | 1,315 | 34 | 46 | 56 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5 | 42 | 369 | 145 | 7 | 26 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (15) | 0 | (58) | (7) | (4) | (58) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (243) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 30 | 602 | 1,419 | 172 | 49 | 23 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4.0 | 14.2 | 1.8 | 14.4 | 3.6 | 6.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.55 | 42.40 | 810.00 | 11.96 | 13.70 | 3.64 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.55 | 42.40 | 810.00 | 11.96 | 13.70 | 3.64 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |