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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15.8x - 17.4x | 16.6x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.8x - 6.4x | 6.1x |
Fair Value | €14.05 - €15.97 | €15.01 |
Upside | -22.4% - -11.8% | -17.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Ringmetall SE | HP3A | XTRA:HP3A |
Mühlbauer Holding AG | MUB | XTRA:MUB |
Maschinenfabrik Berthold Hermle AG | MBH3 | DB:MBH3 |
GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft | G1A | XTRA:G1A |
RATIONAL Aktiengesellschaft | RAA | XTRA:RAA |
Gesco SE | GSC1 | XTRA:GSC1 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
HP3A | MUB | MBH3 | G1A | RAA | GSC1 | ||
XTRA:HP3A | XTRA:MUB | DB:MBH3 | XTRA:G1A | XTRA:RAA | XTRA:GSC1 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 26.9% | -23.3% | -6.1% | 39.1% | 7.9% | -18.5% | |
3Y CAGR | -7.0% | -43.2% | 5.1% | 13.6% | 26.9% | -36.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 39.4% | -63.9% | -27.9% | 16.5% | 11.4% | -57.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.8% | 10.3% | 19.3% | 9.0% | 23.2% | 6.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.1% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 9.5% | 25.0% | 6.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 8.8% | 2.4% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 27.1% | 2.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.8% | 2.9% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 26.9% | 2.2% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.81x | 1.03x | 1.43x | 1.96x | 5.73x | 0.45x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 11.1x | 7.4x | 15.1x | 19.8x | 8.1x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 9.2x | 34.8x | 8.7x | 17.7x | 21.3x | 20.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 17.7x | 34.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 6.1x | 10.5x | 18.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.8x | 16.6x | 17.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 11 | 11 | 11 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 175 | 184 | 193 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (43) | (43) | (43) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 131 | 141 | 150 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 12.69 | 13.57 | 14.46 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.69 | 13.57 | 14.46 | 18.10 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -29.9% | -25.0% | -20.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HP3A | MUB | MBH3 | G1A | RAA | GSC1 | |
Enterprise Value | 142 | 529 | 702 | 10,699 | 6,986 | 231 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12 | 84 | 141 | 298 | 403 | 31 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 1 | |
(-) Debt | (62) | 0 | (1) | (213) | (27) | (70) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | (0) | (0) | 0 | (6) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 90 | 613 | 843 | 10,818 | 7,362 | 187 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 29.1 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 162.8 | 11.4 | 10.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 3.10 | 43.20 | 168.50 | 66.45 | 647.50 | 18.10 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.10 | 43.20 | 168.50 | 66.45 | 647.50 | 18.10 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |