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68M
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WAWI
-5.0%
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WarrenAI
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A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S
XTRA:DP4B
丹麥 / 工業 / 海運
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貨幣
€
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 增長退出價
股價
1,388.00
EUR
公允價值
2,706.20
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
11.5% - 10.5%
11.0%
Perpetuity Growth Rate
1.5% - 2.5%
2.0%
Fair Value
€2,528 - €2,927
€2,706
Upside
82.1% - 110.9%
95.0%
0.2%
Revenue 10y CAGR
16.3%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
1.0%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit
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儲存
股價
1,388.00
EUR
公允價值
2,706.20
EUR
看漲
95.0%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(USD in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
55,482
50,747
48,996
52,150
49,910
51,014
52,034
53,075
54,136
55,219
56,324
% Growth
8.6%
-8.5%
-3.4%
6.4%
-4.3%
2.2%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
9,066
7,494
6,276
7,293
8,504
8,849
9,025
9,206
9,390
9,578
9,769
% of Revenue
16.3%
14.8%
12.8%
14.0%
17.0%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(USD in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Terminal
EBITDA
7,494
6,276
7,293
8,504
8,849
9,025
9,206
9,390
9,578
9,769
9,769
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(5,887)
(4,901)
(4,984)
(6,081)
(6,307)
(6,433)
(6,561)
(6,693)
(6,826)
(6,963)
(4,486)
EBIT
1,607
1,375
2,309
2,423
2,542
2,593
2,645
2,698
2,752
2,807
5,283
Pro forma Taxes
(129)
(110)
(185)
(194)
(203)
(207)
(212)
(216)
(220)
(225)
(423)
NOPAT
5,522
1,478
1,265
2,124
2,229
2,339
2,385
2,433
2,482
2,531
2,582
4,861
Capital Expenditures
(4,201)
(6,212)
(4,334)
(5,025)
(4,588)
(4,724)
(4,779)
(4,697)
(4,733)
(4,736)
(4,722)
(4,722)
NWC Investment
(50)
54
20
(36)
25
(13)
(12)
(12)
(12)
(12)
(13)
(13)
(+) D&A
3,064
5,887
4,901
4,984
6,081
6,307
6,433
6,561
6,693
6,826
6,963
4,486
Free Cash Flow
4,335
1,207
1,851
2,048
3,747
3,909
4,027
4,286
4,429
4,609
4,810
4,612
% Growth
-72%
53%
11%
83%
4%
3%
6%
3%
4%
4%
-4%
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