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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8.9x - 9.8x | 9.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.5x - 6.1x | 5.8x |
| Fair Value | €6.97 - €8.51 | €7.74 |
| Upside | -43.8% - -31.4% | -37.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Trelleborg AB (publ) | TREL B | OM:TRELB |
| Palfinger AG | PAL | WBAG:PAL |
| Andritz AG | ANDR | WBAG:ANDR |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A. | SGO | WBAG:SGO |
| Steyr Motors AG | 4X0 | WBAG:4X0 |
| Semperit Aktiengesellschaft Holding | SEM | WBAG:SEM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| TREL B | PAL | ANDR | SGO | 4X0 | SEM | ||
| OM:TRELB | WBAG:PAL | WBAG:ANDR | WBAG:SGO | WBAG:4X0 | WBAG:SEM | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.4% | 5.9% | 26.3% | 9.3% | NM- | 8.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 13.4% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | NM- | 21.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.8% | -14.8% | -6.6% | 1.0% | 122.5% | 9.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 18.3% | 1.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 16.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 4.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 28.6% | 5.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 28.6% | 5.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.28x | 0.65x | 0.50x | 1.07x | 4.37x | 0.61x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.2x | 6.7x | 5.3x | 7.3x | 14.8x | 4.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 14.3x | 9.1x | 6.9x | 9.6x | 15.3x | 11.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.9x | 9.6x | 15.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -1.7x | 6.1x | 11.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 9.3x | 9.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 37 | 37 | 37 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 325 | 342 | 359 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (157) | (157) | (157) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 168 | 185 | 202 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.16 | 9.00 | 9.83 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.16 | 9.00 | 9.83 | 12.40 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -34.2% | -27.5% | -20.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TREL B | PAL | ANDR | SGO | 4X0 | SEM | |
| Enterprise Value | 77,918 | 1,532 | 4,198 | 50,105 | 181 | 412 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,163 | 132 | 1,477 | 8,460 | 8 | 131 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 57 | 73 | 111 | 1,387 | 0 | 7 | |
| (-) Debt | (8,561) | (800) | (812) | (18,238) | (5) | (283) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (4) | (54) | (3) | (513) | 0 | (13) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 71,573 | 883 | 4,970 | 41,201 | 184 | 255 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 229.9 | 34.8 | 97.6 | 496.9 | 5.2 | 20.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 311.30 | 25.40 | 50.95 | 82.92 | 35.40 | 12.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 311.30 | 25.40 | 50.95 | 82.92 | 35.40 | 12.40 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |