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FO3
12.7%
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-9.2%
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-8.7%
HK
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HOCHTIEF AG
WBAG:HOT
德國 / 工業 / 建造及工程
貨幣
€
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綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 增長退出價
股價
130.90
EUR
公允價值
260.99
EUR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
11.0% - 10.0%
10.5%
Perpetuity Growth Rate
0.0% - 0.5%
0.0%
Fair Value
€249.10 - €280.47
€260.99
Upside
77.3% - 99.6%
85.8%
4.5%
Revenue 10y CAGR
6.4%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
9.8%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit
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儲存
股價
130.90
EUR
公允價值
260.99
EUR
看漲
85.8%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(EUR in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
33,301
35,515
37,282
38,881
42,747
45,953
47,561
48,513
49,483
50,473
51,482
% Growth
20.0%
6.6%
5.0%
4.3%
9.9%
7.5%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
953
2,197
2,324
2,424
2,405
3,045
3,151
3,215
3,279
3,344
3,411
% of Revenue
2.9%
6.2%
6.2%
6.2%
5.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(EUR in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Terminal
EBITDA
2,197
2,324
2,424
2,405
3,045
3,151
3,215
3,279
3,344
3,411
3,411
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(734)
(783)
(783)
(807)
(868)
(898)
(916)
(934)
(953)
(972)
(534)
EBIT
1,463
1,541
1,641
1,598
2,177
2,254
2,299
2,345
2,392
2,439
2,878
Pro forma Taxes
(380)
(401)
(427)
(415)
(566)
(586)
(598)
(610)
(622)
(634)
(748)
NOPAT
417
1,082
1,140
1,214
1,183
1,611
1,668
1,701
1,735
1,770
1,805
2,129
Capital Expenditures
(474)
(693)
(597)
(622)
(515)
(578)
(572)
(555)
(566)
(564)
(562)
(562)
NWC Investment
574
229
183
166
400
332
167
99
100
103
105
0
(+) D&A
389
734
783
783
807
868
898
916
934
953
972
534
Free Cash Flow
907
1,353
1,509
1,541
1,875
2,233
2,160
2,160
2,204
2,261
2,320
2,101
% Growth
49%
12%
2%
22%
19%
-3%
0%
2%
3%
3%
-9%
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