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MPCC -2.1%FM -1.7%2603 -1.6%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作

裕民

TWSE:2606

台灣 / 工業 / 海運

DDM 多階段

股價

70.30 TWD

公允價值

35.24 TWD

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	0.0% - 0.3%	0.0%
Discount Rate	15.6% - 14.6%	15.1%
Fair Value	NT$ 34.05 - NT$ 36.93	NT$ 35.24
Upside	-51.6% - -47.5%	-49.9%

2.40

Current Dividend per Share

3.4%

Current Dividend Yield

43.3%

3yr Avg Div Growth

-20.0%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

70.30 TWD

公允價值

35.24 TWD

看漲

-49.9%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(TWD in millions)	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28		Dec-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	4,681	4,472	5,014	5,189	5,293		5,399	5,399
% Growth	70.9%	-4.5%	12.1%	3.5%	2.0%		2.0%

Payout Ratio	43.3%	53.0%	62.0%	71.0%	80.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	2,028	2,370	3,108	3,684	4,234		4,859	4,994
% Growth		16.9%	31.1%	18.5%	14.9%		14.8%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(TWD in millions)	Dec-20	Dec-21	Dec-22	Dec-23	Dec-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	1,606	1,014	2,535	2,535	2,028		2,535	2,028
% Growth		-37%	150%	0%	-20%			-20%

Net Income to Common	878	4,893	4,404	2,739	4,681		2,739	4,681
% Growth		457%	-10%	-38%	71%			71%

Payout Ratio	183%	21%	58%	93%	43%		93%	43%
Retention Ratio	-83%	79%	42%	7%	57%		7%	57%

Adjusted EBITDA	2,889	6,077	6,765	5,977	8,031		5,977	8,031
% Growth		110%	11%	-12%	34%			34%

Total Debt	35,817	34,563	41,590	44,824	45,361		44,824	45,361
Shareholder's Equity	23,175	25,859	32,705	33,698	40,461		33,698	40,461

Debt / EBITDA	12.4	5.7	6.1	7.5	5.6			4.5
Debt / Equity	155%	134%	127%	133%	112%		133%	112%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	43.3%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	57.6%

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