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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 6.5x - 7.2x | 6.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4.8x - 5.4x | 5.1x |
| Fair Value | C$0.14 - C$0.16 | C$0.15 |
| Upside | -3.9% - 13.6% | 4.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Precision Drilling Corporation | PD | TSX:PD |
| PHX Energy Services Corp. | PHX | TSX:PHX |
| AKITA Drilling Ltd. | AKT.A | TSX:AKT.A |
| Halliburton Company | HAL * | BMV:HAL* |
| High Arctic Energy Services Inc | HWO | TSX:HWO |
| Stampede Drilling Inc. | SDI | TSXV:SDI |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| PD | PHX | AKT.A | HAL * | HWO | SDI | ||
| TSX:PD | TSX:PHX | TSX:AKT.A | BMV:HAL* | TSX:HWO | TSXV:SDI | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.7% | 55.3% | NM- | 21.5% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 58.6% | NM- | 31.1% | NM- | 100.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -16.5% | -24.8% | 78.8% | -11.2% | 41.3% | -39.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.4% | 5.7% | -5.7% | 12.5% | -32.8% | 3.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 16.4% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 17.7% | -149.3% | 14.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 17.1% | -28.3% | 9.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 16.1% | -28.3% | 9.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.90x | 0.60x | 0.49x | 1.11x | 0.45x | 0.60x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.4x | 4.0x | 2.8x | 5.3x | -7.1x | 3.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.1x | 7.4x | 9.3x | 6.9x | -1.6x | 6.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -1.6x | 7.4x | 9.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -31.6x | 5.6x | 13.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 6.5x | 6.9x | 7.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 7 | 7 | 7 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 49 | 51 | 54 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (21) | (21) | (21) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 28 | 30 | 33 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 204.0 | 204.0 | 204.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.16 | ||||
| FX Rate: CAD/CAD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.15 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -5.8% | 2.9% | 11.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PD | PHX | AKT.A | HAL * | HWO | SDI | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,695 | 412 | 104 | 25,566 | 4 | 51 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 28 | 14 | 10 | 1,804 | 3 | 1 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 4 | |
| (-) Debt | (869) | (61) | (54) | (8,574) | (5) | (20) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (5) | 0 | 0 | (42) | 0 | (6) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 858 | 368 | 71 | 18,754 | 10 | 30 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13.5 | 45.6 | 39.7 | 859.7 | 12.4 | 204.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 63.43 | 8.07 | 1.78 | 21.81 | 0.79 | 0.15 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 63.43 | 8.07 | 1.78 | 423.00 | 0.79 | 0.15 | |
| Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | CAD | MXN | CAD | CAD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |