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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 65.9x - 72.9x | 69.4x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 18.4x - 20.4x | 19.4x |
| Fair Value | C$36.75 - C$40.62 | C$38.68 |
| Upside | -15.6% - -6.7% | -11.1% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Lundin Mining Corporation | - | TSX:LUN |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc. | - | TSX:HBM |
| Barrick Mining Corporation | - | TSX:ABX |
| Alcoa Corporation | - | BMV:AA1* |
| Antofagasta plc | - | OTCPK:ANFG.F |
| Teck Resources Limited | - | TSX:TECK.B |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| LUN | HBM | ABX | AA1 * | ANFG.F | TECK.B | |||
| TSX:LUN | TSX:HBM | TSX:ABX | BMV:AA1* | OTCPK:ANFG.F | TSX:TECK.B | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -41.8% | NM- | -11.6% | NM- | 10.6% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -75.7% | NM- | 2.0% | -49.3% | -13.7% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.0% | 253.8% | 82.8% | 279.8% | 42.8% | 130.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.1% | -2.0% | 21.7% | -0.4% | 24.7% | 12.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 3.9% | 11.2% | -6.2% | 13.2% | -3.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.3% | 3.8% | 16.6% | 0.5% | 12.5% | -8.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.2% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 2.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.6x | 4.8x | 6.5x | 3.2x | 8.5x | 8.1x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.6x | 2.0x | 3.0x | 0.6x | 3.8x | 2.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 62.8x | 15.0x | 15.0x | 7.8x | 25.9x | 102.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 7.8x | 15.0x | 62.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -5.5x | 21.2x | 125.6x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 65.9x | 69.4x | 72.9x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 208 | 208 | 208 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,713 | 14,435 | 15,157 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 488.9 | 488.9 | 488.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 28.05 | 29.53 | 31.00 | |||||
| FX Rate: CAD/CAD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 28.05 | 29.53 | 31.00 | 43.53 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -35.6% | -32.2% | -28.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | LUN | HBM | ABX | AA1 * | ANFG.F | TECK.B | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,322 | 4,280 | 40,921 | 8,076 | 24,936 | 21,282 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 856.0 | 395.7 | 1,706.0 | 258.9 | 844.9 | 488.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 10.89 | 10.82 | 23.99 | 31.19 | 29.51 | 43.53 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.10 | 15.00 | 33.26 | 587.00 | 29.51 | 43.53 | |
| Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | CAD | MXN | USD | CAD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |