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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.7x - 3.0x | 2.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.5x - 1.7x | 1.6x |
| Fair Value | C$4 - C$4.48 | C$4.24 |
| Upside | -19.9% - -10.4% | -15.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Capstone Copper Corp. | CS | TSX:CS |
| Fortuna Mining Corp. | FVI | TSX:FVI |
| K92 Mining Inc. | KNT | TSX:KNT |
| Ero Copper Corp. | ERO | TSX:ERO |
| Galiano Gold Inc. | GAU | TSX:GAU |
| New Gold Inc. | NGD | TSX:NGD |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CS | FVI | KNT | ERO | GAU | NGD | |||
| TSX:CS | TSX:FVI | TSX:KNT | TSX:ERO | TSX:GAU | TSX:NGD | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 30.7% | 32.8% | 28.1% | 10.5% | NM- | 8.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 26.2% | 21.0% | 31.5% | -1.4% | NM- | 7.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.9% | 26.1% | 75.1% | 10.0% | NM | 17.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.0% | 13.9% | 34.3% | 35.9% | -1.1% | 8.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.4% | 5.2% | 27.0% | 21.6% | NA | 7.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.9% | 22.2% | 47.5% | 22.7% | 22.4% | 19.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.9% | 22.2% | 47.5% | 22.7% | 22.4% | 19.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.27x | 1.78x | 5.58x | 3.72x | 1.02x | 3.36x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 36.6x | 8.0x | 11.7x | 16.4x | 4.5x | 17.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.19x | 1.75x | 5.80x | 2.48x | 1.29x | 3.04x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.02x | 3.27x | 5.58x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.24x | 1.79x | 3.36x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.75x | 2.89x | 3.04x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 925 | 925 | 925 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,539 | 2,672 | 2,806 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (289) | (289) | (289) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,249 | 2,383 | 2,517 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 791.3 | 791.3 | 791.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.84 | 3.01 | 3.18 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/CAD | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.04 | 4.27 | 4.51 | 5.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -19.3% | -14.5% | -9.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CS | FVI | KNT | ERO | GAU | NGD | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,157 | 1,873 | 1,942 | 1,729 | 235 | 3,077 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 145 | 231 | 141 | 50 | 106 | 110 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,433) | (194) | (66) | (620) | (39) | (400) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (408) | (62) | 0 | (4) | (4) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,474 | 1,848 | 2,017 | 1,156 | 297 | 2,787 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 762.1 | 306.5 | 240.0 | 103.6 | 257.2 | 791.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.56 | 6.03 | 8.40 | 11.16 | 1.16 | 3.52 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.47 | 8.56 | 11.93 | 15.84 | 1.64 | 5.00 | |
| Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | CAD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 | |