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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Fair Value | ¥431.68 - ¥477.12 | ¥454.40 |
| Upside | 28.5% - 42.0% | 35.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Shibusawa Logistics Corporation | 930,400.0% | TSE:9304 |
| AIT Corporation | 938,100.0% | TSE:9381 |
| Konoike Transport Co.,Ltd. | 902,500.0% | TSE:9025 |
| Being Holdings Co., Ltd. | 914,500.0% | TSE:9145 |
| PHYZ Holdings Inc. | 932,500.0% | TSE:9325 |
| Kantsu Co.,Ltd. | 932,600.0% | TSE:9326 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 9304 | 9381 | 9025 | 9145 | 9325 | 9326 | |||
| TSE:9304 | TSE:9381 | TSE:9025 | TSE:9145 | TSE:9325 | TSE:9326 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.6% | 13.1% | 1.4% | 13.2% | NM- | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 14.7% | 28.6% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.9% | 1.0% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 27.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | -4.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 4.5x | 4.2x | 5.1x | 4.3x | 10.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.4x | 0.5x | 0.3x | 0.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 8.7x | 12.2x | 8.1x | 10.3x | 10.6x | -5.5x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.5x | 0.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.4x | 0.4x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 14,446 | 14,446 | 14,446 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,257 | 4,481 | 4,705 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 424.36 | 446.69 | 469.03 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 424.36 | 446.69 | 469.03 | 336.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 26.3% | 32.9% | 39.6% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 9304 | 9381 | 9025 | 9145 | 9325 | 9326 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 44,117 | 36,533 | 130,825 | 14,430 | 9,661 | 3,371 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 14.4 | 23.5 | 53.1 | 6.0 | 10.7 | 10.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3,065.00 | 1,555.00 | 2,465.00 | 2,395.00 | 900.00 | 336.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,065.00 | 1,555.00 | 2,465.00 | 2,395.00 | 900.00 | 336.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |