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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8.6x - 9.5x | 9.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.6x - 6.2x | 5.9x |
| Fair Value | ¥1,612 - ¥1,899 | ¥1,755 |
| Upside | -18.2% - -3.6% | -10.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Early Age Co., Ltd. | 3248 | TSE:3248 |
| Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd. | 8818 | TSE:8818 |
| AMG Holdings Co.,Ltd. | 8891 | TSE:8891 |
| Tokyo Tatemono Co., Ltd. | 8804 | TSE:8804 |
| A.D.Works Group Co.,Ltd. | 2982 | TSE:2982 |
| Sun Frontier Fudousan Co., Ltd. | 8934 | TSE:8934 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3248 | 8818 | 8891 | 8804 | 2982 | 8934 | ||
| TSE:3248 | TSE:8818 | TSE:8891 | TSE:8804 | TSE:2982 | TSE:8934 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.6% | -1.4% | 16.1% | 8.7% | NM- | 5.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 25.5% | -1.4% | 22.7% | 10.7% | 51.3% | 30.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 77.1% | -5.7% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 31.8% | 7.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.9% | 30.0% | 6.6% | 17.1% | 5.3% | 18.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 28.5% | 6.3% | 18.8% | 5.9% | 18.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 26.3% | 6.2% | 17.2% | 6.4% | 22.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.5% | 25.4% | 5.5% | 17.2% | 6.4% | 19.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.03x | 5.84x | 0.52x | 3.04x | 0.73x | 1.91x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | 12.6x | 8.7x | 13.8x | 10.7x | 8.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.0x | 23.0x | 9.4x | 17.7x | 11.4x | 9.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.4x | 11.4x | 23.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.8x | 5.2x | 8.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 9.0x | 9.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 15,410 | 15,410 | 15,410 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 131,896 | 138,838 | 145,780 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (54,337) | (54,337) | (54,337) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 77,559 | 84,501 | 91,443 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 48.6 | 48.6 | 48.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,596.43 | 1,739.32 | 1,882.21 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,596.43 | 1,739.32 | 1,882.21 | 1,969.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -18.9% | -11.7% | -4.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3248 | 8818 | 8891 | 8804 | 2982 | 8934 | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,960 | 114,340 | 16,089 | 1,412,557 | 36,678 | 149,997 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,326 | 8,661 | 3,133 | 111,141 | 10,129 | 37,969 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 512 | 17,875 | 586 | 227,265 | 924 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (9,199) | (73,413) | (14,452) | (1,210,519) | (35,660) | (88,647) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (11,458) | (20) | (3,659) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,599 | 67,463 | 5,356 | 528,986 | 12,051 | 95,660 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 48.6 | 2.8 | 208.6 | 48.0 | 48.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 817.00 | 1,389.00 | 1,912.00 | 2,535.50 | 251.00 | 1,969.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 817.00 | 1,389.00 | 1,912.00 | 2,535.50 | 251.00 | 1,969.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |