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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19.7x - 21.7x | 20.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 18.9x - 20.8x | 19.9x |
| Fair Value | ¥1,071 - ¥1,286 | ¥1,179 |
| Upside | -29.7% - -15.7% | -22.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Early Age Co., Ltd. | 3248 | TSE:3248 |
| AMG Holdings Co.,Ltd. | 8891 | TSE:8891 |
| Tokyo Tatemono Co., Ltd. | 8804 | TSE:8804 |
| A.D.Works Group Co.,Ltd. | 2982 | TSE:2982 |
| property technologies Inc. | 5527 | TSE:5527 |
| Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd. | 8818 | TSE:8818 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3248 | 8891 | 8804 | 2982 | 5527 | 8818 | ||
| TSE:3248 | TSE:8891 | TSE:8804 | TSE:2982 | TSE:5527 | TSE:8818 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.6% | 16.1% | 8.7% | NM- | NM- | -1.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 25.5% | 22.7% | 10.7% | 51.3% | -6.9% | -1.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 77.1% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 31.8% | 35.2% | -5.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.9% | 6.6% | 17.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 30.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 6.3% | 18.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 28.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 6.2% | 17.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 26.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.5% | 5.5% | 17.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 25.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.02x | 0.52x | 3.04x | 0.74x | 0.66x | 6.26x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.7x | 8.7x | 13.8x | 10.8x | 13.8x | 13.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.9x | 9.4x | 17.7x | 11.5x | 15.9x | 24.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.4x | 11.5x | 17.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 17.4x | 20.0x | 25.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.7x | 20.7x | 21.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 4,917 | 4,917 | 4,917 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 96,637 | 101,723 | 106,809 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (46,877) | (46,877) | (46,877) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 49,760 | 54,846 | 59,932 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 48.6 | 48.6 | 48.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,024.50 | 1,129.22 | 1,233.94 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,024.50 | 1,129.22 | 1,233.94 | 1,525.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -32.8% | -26.0% | -19.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3248 | 8891 | 8804 | 2982 | 5527 | 8818 | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,861 | 16,050 | 1,411,967 | 36,824 | 29,071 | 120,946 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,326 | 3,133 | 111,141 | 10,129 | 3,711 | 8,661 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 512 | 586 | 227,265 | 924 | 600 | 17,875 | |
| (-) Debt | (9,199) | (14,452) | (1,210,519) | (35,660) | (29,060) | (73,413) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (11,458) | (20) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,500 | 5,317 | 528,396 | 12,197 | 4,322 | 74,069 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 2.8 | 208.5 | 48.0 | 4.1 | 48.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 786.00 | 1,898.00 | 2,534.50 | 254.00 | 1,055.00 | 1,525.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 786.00 | 1,898.00 | 2,534.50 | 254.00 | 1,055.00 | 1,525.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |