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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 1.5x - 1.7x | 1.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 1.0x |
| Fair Value | ¥1,226 - ¥1,251 | ¥1,239 |
| Upside | 14.3% - 16.6% | 15.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Recomm Co., Ltd. | 3323 | TSE:3323 |
| Daido Signal Co., Ltd. | 6743 | TSE:6743 |
| Dkk-Toa Corporation | 6848 | TSE:6848 |
| Lecip Holdings Corporation | 7213 | TSE:7213 |
| Pacific Systems Corporation | 3847 | TSE:3847 |
| DAIKO XTECH, Ltd. | 8023 | TSE:8023 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3323 | 6743 | 6848 | 7213 | 3847 | 8023 | ||
| TSE:3323 | TSE:6743 | TSE:6848 | TSE:7213 | TSE:3847 | TSE:8023 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -20.5% | -6.0% | -2.2% | 12.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -17.2% | -4.8% | -5.0% | 88.2% | 1.6% | 12.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.0% | -9.3% | -13.5% | -21.5% | 1.5% | -34.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.7% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 5.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 7.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 6.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 5.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.66x | 0.34x | 0.48x | 0.16x | 0.52x | 0.03x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.1x | 4.3x | 4.4x | 1.2x | 4.5x | 0.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 43.1x | 5.7x | 7.3x | 1.5x | 6.7x | 0.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.2x | 4.4x | 22.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.8x | 0.1x | 1.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.5x | 1.6x | 1.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 2,250 | 2,250 | 2,250 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,420 | 3,600 | 3,780 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 12,462 | 12,462 | 12,462 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 15,882 | 16,062 | 16,242 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 12.6 | 12.6 | 12.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,258.57 | 1,272.84 | 1,287.10 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,258.57 | 1,272.84 | 1,287.10 | 1,073.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 17.3% | 18.6% | 20.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3323 | 6743 | 6848 | 7213 | 3847 | 8023 | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,793 | 7,689 | 8,550 | 3,881 | 6,007 | 1,079 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,787 | 4,301 | 5,655 | 2,355 | 3,239 | 11,519 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 605 | 7,565 | 3,246 | 1,548 | 894 | 3,069 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,144) | (5,791) | (1,430) | (818) | (50) | (2,070) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (344) | (4,746) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (56) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,697 | 9,018 | 16,021 | 6,966 | 10,090 | 13,541 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.7 | 15.8 | 19.8 | 15.4 | 1.5 | 12.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 83.00 | 570.00 | 810.00 | 453.00 | 6,820.00 | 1,073.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 83.00 | 570.00 | 810.00 | 453.00 | 6,820.00 | 1,073.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |