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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 27.3x - 30.2x | 28.7x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 3.4x - 3.8x | 3.6x |
Fair Value | ¥1,502 - ¥1,660 | ¥1,581 |
Upside | 0.4% - 11.0% | 5.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Garmin Ltd. | - | NYSE:GRMN |
Tama Home Co., Ltd. | 141,900.0% | TSE:1419 |
Rinnai Corporation | 594,700.0% | TSE:5947 |
Open House Group Co., Ltd. | 328,800.0% | TSE:3288 |
Eslead Corporation | 887,700.0% | TSE:8877 |
Nikon Corporation | 773,100.0% | TSE:7731 |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
GRMN | 1419 | 5947 | 3288 | 8877 | 7731 | |||
NYSE:GRMN | TSE:1419 | TSE:5947 | TSE:3288 | TSE:8877 | TSE:7731 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 8.2% | 17.3% | 5.4% | 18.7% | 10.9% | -13.3% | ||
3Y CAGR | 9.3% | 6.9% | -1.1% | 10.1% | 18.6% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | -8.5% | 45.9% | -21.4% | 52.2% | -54.5% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 22.8% | 2.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 24.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 22.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 4.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 22.4% | 1.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 2.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.6x | 12.3x | 4.0x | 7.8x | 9.6x | 8.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 6.1x | 0.5x | 1.0x | 0.5x | 0.7x | 0.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 27.1x | 28.4x | 13.5x | 8.6x | 6.5x | 35.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 6.5x | 13.5x | 28.4x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -10.6x | 10.9x | 17.4x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 27.3x | 28.7x | 30.2x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 13,859 | 13,859 | 13,859 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 378,369 | 398,284 | 418,198 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 328.8 | 328.8 | 328.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1,150.83 | 1,211.40 | 1,271.97 | |||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,150.83 | 1,211.40 | 1,271.97 | 1,495.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -23.0% | -19.0% | -14.9% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | GRMN | 1419 | 5947 | 3288 | 8877 | 7731 | |
Value of Common Equity | 38,310 | 113,924 | 433,134 | 713,528 | 65,884 | 491,524 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 192.4 | 29.0 | 137.9 | 115.2 | 15.4 | 328.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 199.11 | 3,930.00 | 3,142.00 | 6,193.00 | 4,270.00 | 1,495.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 199.11 | 3,930.00 | 3,142.00 | 6,193.00 | 4,270.00 | 1,495.00 | |
Trading Currency | USD | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |