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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 3.7x - 4.1x | 3.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
| Fair Value | ¥1,940 - ¥2,115 | ¥2,027 |
| Upside | 19.5% - 30.3% | 24.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Daishinku Corp. | 6962 | TSE:6962 |
| Iriso Electronics Co., Ltd. | 6908 | TSE:6908 |
| Tamura Corporation | 6768 | TSE:6768 |
| UMC Electronics Co., Ltd. | 6615 | TSE:6615 |
| Tokyo Electron Device Limited | 2760 | TSE:2760 |
| Nagano Keiki Co., Ltd. | 7715 | TSE:7715 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6962 | 6908 | 6768 | 6615 | 2760 | 7715 | ||
| TSE:6962 | TSE:6908 | TSE:6768 | TSE:6615 | TSE:2760 | TSE:7715 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 16.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 19.7% | 32.0% | 16.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 6.5% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 45.7% | 47.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -10.2% | NM | NM | 0.1% | -5.8% | -9.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 17.2% | 22.5% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 10.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 21.5% | 24.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.6% | 22.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 13.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.0% | NA | NA | 4.1% | 6.4% | 13.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.87x | 0.58x | 0.35x | 0.14x | 0.49x | 0.39x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.8x | 2.9x | 4.3x | 3.5x | 7.6x | 3.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 18.0x | 6.5x | 7.9x | 8.1x | 8.2x | 3.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 4.3x | 7.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.1x | 4.3x | 4.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.7x | 3.9x | 4.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 8,623 | 8,623 | 8,623 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 31,606 | 33,269 | 34,933 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 5,243 | 5,243 | 5,243 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 36,849 | 38,512 | 40,176 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 19.1 | 19.1 | 19.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,928.94 | 2,016.02 | 2,103.10 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,928.94 | 2,016.02 | 2,103.10 | 1,623.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 18.9% | 24.2% | 29.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6962 | 6908 | 6768 | 6615 | 2760 | 7715 | |
| Enterprise Value | 34,200 | 32,612 | 38,796 | 18,424 | 110,419 | 25,761 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 19,853 | 26,347 | 17,935 | 13,699 | 9,743 | 8,224 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 5,018 | 274 | 7,488 | 7,930 | 6,259 | 13,295 | |
| (-) Debt | (35,424) | (9,536) | (31,894) | (33,052) | (50,244) | (15,538) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (8,998) | (826) | (103) | (22) | (1,136) | (738) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 14,649 | 48,871 | 32,222 | 6,979 | 75,041 | 31,004 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.8 | 21.3 | 81.8 | 28.1 | 30.1 | 19.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 461.00 | 2,291.00 | 394.00 | 248.00 | 2,489.00 | 1,623.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 461.00 | 2,291.00 | 394.00 | 248.00 | 2,489.00 | 1,623.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |