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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8.4x - 9.3x | 8.8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11.2x - 12.4x | 11.8x |
Fair Value | ¥306.74 - ¥381.84 | ¥344.29 |
Upside | 2.2% - 27.3% | 14.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Daishinku Corp. | 6962 | TSE:6962 |
Maxell, Ltd. | 6810 | TSE:6810 |
Canon Electronics Inc. | 7739 | TSE:7739 |
KOA Corporation | 6999 | TSE:6999 |
Tachibana Eletech Co., Ltd. | 8159 | TSE:8159 |
UMC Electronics Co., Ltd. | 6615 | TSE:6615 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
6962 | 6810 | 7739 | 6999 | 8159 | 6615 | ||
TSE:6962 | TSE:6810 | TSE:7739 | TSE:6999 | TSE:8159 | TSE:6615 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 114.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | -10.2% | 10.3% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 0.7% | 28.5% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 38.6% | 33.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -9.6% | 7.0% | 13.7% | -81.8% | -33.4% | 33.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.6% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.0% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.97x | 0.56x | 0.39x | 0.71x | 0.07x | 0.16x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 5.6x | 2.9x | 6.0x | 1.7x | 3.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 20.1x | 8.9x | 3.8x | 53.6x | 2.0x | 8.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.0x | 8.9x | 53.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -16.4x | 12.7x | 53.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 8.8x | 9.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 2,330 | 2,330 | 2,330 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 19,569 | 20,599 | 21,629 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (11,445) | (11,445) | (11,445) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 8,124 | 9,154 | 10,184 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 28.1 | 28.1 | 28.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 288.70 | 325.30 | 361.90 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 288.70 | 325.30 | 361.90 | 300.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -3.8% | 8.4% | 20.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 6962 | 6810 | 7739 | 6999 | 8159 | 6615 | |
Enterprise Value | 37,473 | 68,442 | 36,487 | 43,303 | 13,861 | 19,887 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 19,853 | 32,018 | 30,213 | 31,168 | 28,312 | 13,699 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 5,018 | 0 | 36,051 | 5,077 | 25,826 | 7,930 | |
(-) Debt | (35,424) | (18,935) | (829) | (44,504) | (12,561) | (33,052) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (8,998) | (2,906) | (170) | 0 | 0 | (22) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 17,922 | 78,619 | 101,752 | 35,044 | 55,438 | 8,442 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 31.8 | 43.1 | 40.9 | 37.5 | 23.1 | 28.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 564.00 | 1,823.00 | 2,488.00 | 935.00 | 2,403.00 | 300.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 564.00 | 1,823.00 | 2,488.00 | 935.00 | 2,403.00 | 300.00 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |