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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 41.3x - 45.6x | 43.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.4x - 6.0x | 5.7x |
| Fair Value | ¥890.61 - ¥985.88 | ¥938.25 |
| Upside | 7.7% - 19.2% | 13.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Miraial Co., Ltd. | 4238 | TSE:4238 |
| Kuramoto Co., Ltd. | 5216 | TSE:5216 |
| AVIX,Inc. | 7836 | TSE:7836 |
| SAMCO Inc. | 6387 | TSE:6387 |
| Tera Probe, Inc. | 6627 | TSE:6627 |
| Shikino High-Tech CO.,LTD. | 6614 | TSE:6614 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4238 | 5216 | 7836 | 6387 | 6627 | 6614 | ||
| TSE:4238 | TSE:5216 | TSE:7836 | TSE:6387 | TSE:6627 | TSE:6614 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.9% | NM- | 49.9% | 43.8% | NM- | 29.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -9.0% | NM- | 68.9% | 26.8% | 18.5% | 43.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.8% | NM | 43.2% | 4.6% | -4.3% | -86.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.7% | 6.1% | -1.3% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 7.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.4% | NA | 0.5% | 23.7% | 20.3% | 10.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 24.6% | 18.5% | 8.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 24.3% | 18.5% | 1.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.28x | 5.78x | 0.77x | 1.50x | 1.05x | 0.56x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.4x | 41.9x | 7.8x | 5.9x | 1.9x | 20.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 2.7x | 95.3x | 13.8x | 6.2x | 5.7x | 44.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.7x | 6.2x | 95.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 17.6x | 23.3x | 25.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 41.3x | 43.4x | 45.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 84 | 84 | 84 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,467 | 3,649 | 3,832 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (64) | (64) | (64) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,403 | 3,585 | 3,768 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 768.88 | 810.11 | 851.34 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 768.88 | 810.11 | 851.34 | 827.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.0% | -2.0% | 2.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4238 | 5216 | 7836 | 6387 | 6627 | 6614 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,913 | 9,168 | 3,060 | 12,366 | 38,929 | 3,724 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 6,474 | 0 | 559 | 5,711 | 11,690 | 657 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 453 | 0 | 89 | 607 | 138 | 118 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | 0 | (420) | (1,093) | (13,769) | (839) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (21) | 0 | (16,520) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,840 | 9,168 | 3,267 | 17,591 | 20,468 | 3,660 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9.0 | 48.0 | 35.1 | 8.0 | 9.1 | 4.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,091.00 | 191.00 | 93.00 | 2,190.00 | 2,250.00 | 827.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,091.00 | 191.00 | 93.00 | 2,190.00 | 2,250.00 | 827.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |