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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 100.6x - 111.2x | 105.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10.2x - 11.3x | 10.7x |
| Fair Value | ¥372.90 - ¥595.46 | ¥484.18 |
| Upside | -12.1% - 40.4% | 14.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Nippon Thompson Co., Ltd. | 6480 | TSE:6480 |
| THK Co., Ltd. | 6481 | TSE:6481 |
| NSK Ltd. | 6471 | TSE:6471 |
| Union Tool Co. | 6278 | TSE:6278 |
| Naikai Zosen Corporation | 7018 | TSE:7018 |
| Tsubaki Nakashima Co., Ltd. | 6464 | TSE:6464 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6480 | 6481 | 6471 | 6278 | 7018 | 6464 | ||
| TSE:6480 | TSE:6481 | TSE:6471 | TSE:6278 | TSE:7018 | TSE:6464 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -8.3% | -0.8% | -20.1% | 17.6% | 48.0% | -31.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -15.0% | 105.6% | 8.2% | NM- | -47.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -79.2% | -21.8% | -36.8% | 83.2% | -39.5% | -76.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 17.0% | 1.8% | 4.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 14.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 21.0% | 6.9% | 1.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 21.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.57x | 1.12x | 0.10x | 1.29x | 0.01x | 1.14x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.0x | 9.4x | 1.1x | 4.3x | 0.1x | 21.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 29.0x | 21.9x | 4.4x | 6.1x | 0.1x | 106.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 0.1x | 6.1x | 29.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -279.2x | 16.1x | 106.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 100.6x | 105.9x | 111.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 814 | 814 | 814 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 81,896 | 86,206 | 90,516 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (69,375) | (69,375) | (69,375) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 12,521 | 16,831 | 21,141 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 39.8 | 39.8 | 39.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 314.29 | 422.48 | 530.67 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 314.29 | 422.48 | 530.67 | 424.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.9% | -0.4% | 25.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6480 | 6481 | 6471 | 6278 | 7018 | 6464 | |
| Enterprise Value | 30,118 | 394,045 | 83,094 | 41,945 | 248 | 86,267 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 21,716 | 138,293 | 156,312 | 18,133 | 12,936 | 23,060 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 16,985 | 22,478 | 99,838 | 11,094 | 2,532 | 251 | |
| (-) Debt | (33,645) | (105,576) | 0 | 0 | (5,564) | (92,650) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (6,149) | (18,059) | 0 | 0 | (36) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 35,174 | 443,091 | 321,185 | 71,172 | 10,152 | 16,892 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 69.1 | 117.2 | 488.8 | 17.3 | 1.7 | 39.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 509.00 | 3,781.00 | 657.10 | 4,120.00 | 5,990.00 | 424.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 509.00 | 3,781.00 | 657.10 | 4,120.00 | 5,990.00 | 424.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |