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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 6.3x - 7.0x | 6.7x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6.5x - 7.2x | 6.8x |
Fair Value | ¥3,277 - ¥3,739 | ¥3,508 |
Upside | 32.6% - 51.3% | 42.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Early Age Co., Ltd. | 3248 | TSE:3248 |
Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd. | 8818 | TSE:8818 |
Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. | 8802 | TSE:8802 |
Relo Group, Inc. | 8876 | TSE:8876 |
Airport Facilities Co., Ltd. | 8864 | TSE:8864 |
Yoshicon Co.,Ltd. | 5280 | TSE:5280 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
3248 | 8818 | 8802 | 8876 | 8864 | 5280 | ||
TSE:3248 | TSE:8818 | TSE:8802 | TSE:8876 | TSE:8864 | TSE:5280 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.6% | -1.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 45.1% | |
3Y CAGR | 25.5% | -0.9% | 3.5% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 25.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -50.7% | -1.4% | 13.4% | 259.6% | 64.6% | 82.1% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 15.9% | 29.0% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 26.3% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 17.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 13.9% | 25.4% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 16.0% | 18.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 3.26x | 6.38x | 4.19x | 2.12x | 1.90x | 0.94x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.4x | 14.2x | 16.0x | 6.5x | 6.3x | 4.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 23.4x | 25.1x | 21.0x | 10.3x | 11.8x | 5.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 10.3x | 21.0x | 25.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.5x | 7.8x | 38.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 6.3x | 6.7x | 7.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 4,987 | 4,987 | 4,987 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 31,598 | 33,261 | 34,924 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,739) | (7,739) | (7,739) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 23,859 | 25,522 | 27,185 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 3,406.82 | 3,644.28 | 3,881.75 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3,406.82 | 3,644.28 | 3,881.75 | 2,471.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 37.9% | 47.5% | 57.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 3248 | 8818 | 8802 | 8876 | 8864 | 5280 | |
Enterprise Value | 10,658 | 125,768 | 6,700,289 | 302,801 | 64,837 | 25,044 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,326 | 6,371 | 190,267 | 59,028 | 6,299 | 2,497 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 481 | 24,942 | 903,307 | 925 | 11,862 | 3,516 | |
(-) Debt | (9,605) | (78,645) | (3,470,283) | (85,886) | (24,960) | (13,505) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (177,884) | (2,302) | (2,721) | (247) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,860 | 78,436 | 4,145,696 | 274,566 | 55,317 | 17,305 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 48.7 | 1,224.0 | 149.7 | 50.3 | 7.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 899.00 | 1,612.00 | 3,387.00 | 1,834.50 | 1,100.00 | 2,471.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 899.00 | 1,612.00 | 3,387.00 | 1,834.50 | 1,100.00 | 2,471.00 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |