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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 4.9x - 5.4x | 5.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4.9x - 5.4x | 5.2x |
| Fair Value | ¥3,094 - ¥3,437 | ¥3,265 |
| Upside | 42.6% - 58.4% | 50.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Early Age Co., Ltd. | 3248 | TSE:3248 |
| LA Holdings Co., Ltd. | 2986 | TSE:2986 |
| Sun Frontier Fudousan Co., Ltd. | 8934 | TSE:8934 |
| Relo Group, Inc. | 8876 | TSE:8876 |
| Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. | 8830 | TSE:8830 |
| Yoshicon Co.,Ltd. | 5280 | TSE:5280 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3248 | 2986 | 8934 | 8876 | 8830 | 5280 | ||
| TSE:3248 | TSE:2986 | TSE:8934 | TSE:8876 | TSE:8830 | TSE:5280 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.6% | 27.5% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 45.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 25.5% | 33.8% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 5.1% | 25.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -51.6% | 32.2% | 20.9% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 53.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.9% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 25.4% | 9.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 26.3% | 12.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 19.2% | 26.8% | 17.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.1% | 17.7% | 20.6% | 19.2% | 26.8% | 17.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.03x | 2.02x | 1.44x | 1.67x | 5.34x | 0.59x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.4x | 11.2x | 6.1x | 5.3x | 15.6x | 3.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.5x | 11.4x | 7.0x | 8.7x | 19.9x | 3.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 7.0x | 11.4x | 21.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.9x | 7.8x | 38.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 4.9x | 5.2x | 5.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 4,678 | 4,678 | 4,678 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 22,952 | 24,160 | 25,368 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,140) | (1,140) | (1,140) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 21,812 | 23,020 | 24,228 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3,114.47 | 3,286.96 | 3,459.45 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3,114.47 | 3,286.96 | 3,459.45 | 2,169.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 43.6% | 51.5% | 59.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3248 | 2986 | 8934 | 8876 | 8830 | 5280 | |
| Enterprise Value | 10,015 | 91,298 | 148,396 | 239,257 | 5,411,899 | 16,330 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,502 | 9,733 | 44,920 | 64,021 | 99,020 | 3,514 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 501 | 1,264 | 4,479 | 46,202 | 962,499 | 3,475 | |
| (-) Debt | (9,362) | (56,311) | (92,458) | (87,929) | (3,891,925) | (7,884) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (3,702) | (2,314) | 0 | (245) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,656 | 45,984 | 101,635 | 259,237 | 2,581,493 | 15,190 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 7.4 | 48.5 | 149.7 | 468.3 | 7.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 835.00 | 6,200.00 | 2,096.00 | 1,732.00 | 5,513.00 | 2,169.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 835.00 | 6,200.00 | 2,096.00 | 1,732.00 | 5,513.00 | 2,169.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |