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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.9x - 2.1x | 2.0x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.8x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
Fair Value | ¥1,455 - ¥1,609 | ¥1,532 |
Upside | 13.3% - 25.2% | 19.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Mandom Corporation | 491,700.0% | TSE:4917 |
Noevir Holdings Co., Ltd. | 492,800.0% | TSE:4928 |
Milbon Co., Ltd. | 491,900.0% | TSE:4919 |
Shiseido Company, Limited | 491,100.0% | TSE:4911 |
KOSÉ Corporation | 492,200.0% | TSE:4922 |
Pola Orbis Holdings Inc. | 492,700.0% | TSE:4927 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
4917 | 4928 | 4919 | 4911 | 4922 | 4927 | |||
TSE:4917 | TSE:4928 | TSE:4919 | TSE:4911 | TSE:4922 | TSE:4927 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -1.5% | 1.5% | 7.2% | -2.6% | -0.6% | -5.0% | ||
3Y CAGR | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | -1.5% | 4.9% | -1.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.2% | 1.7% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 7.4% | -1.7% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 1.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.4% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 12.5% | 9.8% | -1.1% | 2.3% | 5.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 3.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | -1.1% | 2.3% | 5.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.8x | 9.7x | 7.8x | 16.7x | 8.1x | 9.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 2.2x | 1.7x | 0.9x | 1.1x | 1.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 27.9x | 18.0x | 17.5x | -86.2x | 46.9x | 30.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.8x | 1.1x | 2.2x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.7x | 2.3x | 2.6x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.9x | 2.0x | 2.1x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 170,359 | 170,359 | 170,359 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 323,553 | 340,582 | 357,611 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 221.3 | 221.3 | 221.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1,462.27 | 1,539.24 | 1,616.20 | |||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,462.27 | 1,539.24 | 1,616.20 | 1,285.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 13.8% | 19.8% | 25.8% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 4917 | 4928 | 4919 | 4911 | 4922 | 4927 | |
Value of Common Equity | 63,283 | 143,115 | 88,048 | 932,061 | 352,489 | 284,328 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 45.1 | 34.2 | 32.6 | 399.4 | 57.1 | 221.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1,402.00 | 4,190.00 | 2,704.00 | 2,333.50 | 6,177.00 | 1,285.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,402.00 | 4,190.00 | 2,704.00 | 2,333.50 | 6,177.00 | 1,285.00 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |