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觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作

Pola Orbis Holdings Inc

TSE:4927

日本 / 必需消費品 / 個人護理用品

DDM 多階段

股價

1,286.50 JPY

公允價值

1,820.80 JPY

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	4.8% - 5.3%	5.0%
Discount Rate	8.6% - 7.6%	8.1%
Fair Value	¥1,479 - ¥2,379	¥1,821
Upside	14.4% - 84.0%	40.9%

52

Current Dividend per Share

4.0%

Current Dividend Yield

16.3%

3yr Avg Div Growth

0.1%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

1,286.50 JPY

公允價值

1,820.80 JPY

看漲

40.9%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(JPY in millions)	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28		Dec-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	9,286	10,083	11,763	12,166	13,595		16,468	16,468
% Growth	-3.9%	8.6%	16.7%	3.4%	11.7%		21.1%

Payout Ratio	124.4%	90.0%	90.0%	90.0%	90.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	11,554	11,554	10,587	10,949	12,235		14,821	15,233
% Growth		0.0%	-8.4%	3.4%	11.7%		21.1%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(JPY in millions)	Dec-20	Dec-21	Dec-22	Dec-23	Dec-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	25,670	7,756	11,518	11,547	11,554		11,547	11,554
% Growth		-70%	49%	0%	0%			0%

Net Income to Common	4,632	11,734	11,446	9,665	9,286		9,665	9,286
% Growth		153%	-2%	-16%	-4%			-4%

Payout Ratio	554%	66%	101%	119%	124%		119%	124%
Retention Ratio	-454%	34%	-1%	-19%	-24%		-19%	-24%

Adjusted EBITDA	21,009	24,282	21,442	23,793	22,167		23,793	22,167
% Growth		16%	-12%	11%	-7%			-7%

Total Debt	2,439	2,277	1,877	1,694	2,115		1,694	2,115
Shareholder's Equity	169,709	173,046	171,167	168,049	164,891		168,049	164,891

Debt / EBITDA	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1			0.1
Debt / Equity	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%		1%	1%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	16.3%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	119.5%

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