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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6.5x - 7.2x | 6.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.1x - 3.5x | 3.3x |
| Fair Value | ¥1,066 - ¥1,558 | ¥1,312 |
| Upside | 18.7% - 73.5% | 46.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Rohto Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. | 4527 | TSE:4527 |
| Ya-Man Ltd. | 6630 | TSE:6630 |
| Sagami Rubber Industries Co., Ltd. | 5194 | TSE:5194 |
| AFC-HD AMS Life Science Co., Ltd. | 2927 | TSE:2927 |
| MTG Co., Ltd. | 7806 | TSE:7806 |
| Nippon Shikizai, Inc. | 4920 | TSE:4920 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4527 | 6630 | 5194 | 2927 | 7806 | 4920 | ||
| TSE:4527 | TSE:6630 | TSE:5194 | TSE:2927 | TSE:7806 | TSE:4920 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.4% | -32.4% | -6.7% | 15.6% | NM- | -2.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 19.5% | -50.5% | -11.9% | 1.2% | 3.3% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.5% | -99.8% | -30.1% | 11.3% | 82.7% | 23.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 17.2% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 17.3% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.0% | 2.7% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.6% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.34x | 1.05x | 2.39x | 0.65x | 1.07x | 0.56x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.6x | 5847.6x | 17.8x | 6.4x | 10.9x | 6.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.8x | -43.7x | 189.3x | 9.8x | 14.3x | 16.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.4x | 10.9x | 5847.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.4x | 12.1x | 35.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 6.9x | 7.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 1,500 | 1,500 | 1,500 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,809 | 10,326 | 10,842 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,576) | (7,576) | (7,576) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,233 | 2,750 | 3,266 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,065.70 | 1,312.05 | 1,558.39 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,065.70 | 1,312.05 | 1,558.39 | 898.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 18.7% | 46.1% | 73.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4527 | 6630 | 5194 | 2927 | 7806 | 4920 | |
| Enterprise Value | 396,572 | 26,776 | 13,629 | 20,476 | 83,593 | 9,458 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 61,713 | 17,369 | 1,045 | 11,434 | 7,400 | 1,189 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 48,077 | 1,237 | 1,023 | 3,151 | 4,100 | 594 | |
| (-) Debt | (38,806) | (760) | (6,011) | (24,174) | 0 | (9,359) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (11,108) | 0 | (284) | (104) | (3) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 456,448 | 44,622 | 9,402 | 10,783 | 95,090 | 1,882 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 226.0 | 55.0 | 10.9 | 14.1 | 39.2 | 2.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,020.00 | 811.00 | 866.00 | 767.00 | 2,423.00 | 898.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,020.00 | 811.00 | 866.00 | 767.00 | 2,423.00 | 898.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |