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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19.3x - 21.3x | 20.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10.0x - 11.1x | 10.5x |
| Fair Value | ¥2,223 - ¥2,497 | ¥2,360 |
| Upside | -26.6% - -17.6% | -22.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Hikari Food Service Co., Ltd. | 138A | TSE:138A |
| Imperial Hotel, Ltd. | 9708 | TSE:9708 |
| Ohsho Food Service Corp. | 9936 | TSE:9936 |
| Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd. | 9887 | TSE:9887 |
| Fujio Food Group Inc. | 2752 | TSE:2752 |
| WDI Corporation | 3068 | TSE:3068 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 138A | 9708 | 9936 | 9887 | 2752 | 3068 | ||
| TSE:138A | TSE:9708 | TSE:9936 | TSE:9887 | TSE:2752 | TSE:3068 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -10.8% | 8.2% | -2.8% | -3.5% | -3.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 19.2% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -17.3% | -50.8% | 7.3% | -17.2% | 211.5% | -40.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -2.9% | -14.4% | 8.7% | 0.5% | -5.1% | -0.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.8% | 0.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 3.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.5% | 2.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.49x | 1.38x | 1.49x | 0.70x | 1.73x | 0.67x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.9x | 19.4x | 12.0x | 12.0x | 29.1x | 14.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.8x | 52.3x | 15.6x | 24.5x | 44.6x | 26.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.8x | 24.5x | 52.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -11.9x | 11.7x | 41.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.3x | 20.3x | 21.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 805 | 805 | 805 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 15,507 | 16,323 | 17,139 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,358) | (2,358) | (2,358) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,149 | 13,965 | 14,781 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,102.28 | 2,232.77 | 2,363.26 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2,102.28 | 2,232.77 | 2,363.26 | 3,030.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -30.6% | -26.3% | -22.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 138A | 9708 | 9936 | 9887 | 2752 | 3068 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,825 | 72,936 | 159,934 | 107,794 | 54,298 | 21,310 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 24,875 | 34,969 | 16,867 | 14,012 | 5,908 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 10,515 | 4,427 | 16,699 | 5,075 | 2,247 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | 0 | (5,500) | (35,368) | (10,710) | (8,663) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (6) | (1,850) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,825 | 108,326 | 193,830 | 105,992 | 62,669 | 18,952 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1.0 | 118.6 | 56.5 | 19.1 | 51.2 | 6.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,840.00 | 913.00 | 3,430.00 | 5,560.00 | 1,223.00 | 3,030.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,840.00 | 913.00 | 3,430.00 | 5,560.00 | 1,223.00 | 3,030.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |