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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.9x - 4.3x | 4.1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3.0x - 3.3x | 3.1x |
| Fair Value | 1,401 - 1,720 | 1,561 |
| Upside | -5.8% - 15.7% | 5.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Early Age Co., Ltd. | 3248 | TSE:3248 |
| Keihanshin Building Co., Ltd. | 8818 | TSE:8818 |
| AMG Holdings Co.,Ltd. | 8891 | TSE:8891 |
| property technologies Inc. | 5527 | TSE:5527 |
| JALCO Holdings Inc. | 6625 | TSE:6625 |
| Hulic Co., Ltd. | 3003 | TSE:3003 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 3248 | 8818 | 8891 | 5527 | 6625 | 3003 | |||
| TSE:3248 | TSE:8818 | TSE:8891 | TSE:5527 | TSE:6625 | TSE:3003 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.2% | 5.2% | 22.7% | NM- | 61.5% | 10.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 12.2% | 8.0% | 30.4% | 12.1% | 67.4% | 9.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 50.6% | -0.7% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 32.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.9% | 30.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 54.5% | 27.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 28.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 65.1% | 32.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 26.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 49.8% | 27.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.5% | 25.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 57.9% | 27.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.04x | 6.29x | 0.52x | 0.66x | 7.86x | 4.01x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 11.0x | 24.7x | 9.5x | 16.0x | 13.6x | 14.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.54x | 3.86x | 0.18x | 0.10x | 3.21x | 1.91x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.52x | 2.04x | 7.86x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.10x | 4.68x | 5.60x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.91x | 4.12x | 4.33x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 591,615 | 591,615 | 591,615 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,315,554 | 2,437,426 | 2,559,297 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,240,713) | (1,240,713) | (1,240,713) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,074,841 | 1,196,713 | 1,318,584 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 759.3 | 759.3 | 759.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,415.53 | 1,576.03 | 1,736.53 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,415.53 | 1,576.03 | 1,736.53 | 1,487.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -4.8% | 6.0% | 16.8% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3248 | 8818 | 8891 | 5527 | 6625 | 3003 | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,988 | 121,577 | 16,257 | 29,243 | 80,269 | 2,369,822 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,326 | 8,661 | 3,133 | 3,711 | 2,683 | 134,462 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 512 | 17,875 | 586 | 600 | 1,647 | 519,100 | |
| (-) Debt | (9,199) | (73,413) | (14,452) | (29,060) | (51,819) | (1,870,997) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (23,278) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,627 | 74,700 | 5,524 | 4,494 | 32,780 | 1,129,109 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.2 | 48.6 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 110.4 | 759.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 826.00 | 1,538.00 | 1,972.00 | 1,097.00 | 297.00 | 1,487.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 826.00 | 1,538.00 | 1,972.00 | 1,097.00 | 297.00 | 1,487.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |