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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 15.8x - 17.5x | 16.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13.6x - 15.1x | 14.4x |
| Fair Value | ¥1,332 - ¥1,695 | ¥1,513 |
| Upside | -15.2% - 7.9% | -3.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| CEL Corporation | 5078 | TSE:5078 |
| GOLDCREST Co.,Ltd. | 8871 | TSE:8871 |
| Tokyo Tatemono Co., Ltd. | 8804 | TSE:8804 |
| Innovation Holdings CO.,LTD. | 3484 | TSE:3484 |
| Koryojyuhan Co., Ltd. | 3495 | TSE:3495 |
| Hulic Co., Ltd. | 3003 | TSE:3003 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 5078 | 8871 | 8804 | 3484 | 3495 | 3003 | ||
| TSE:5078 | TSE:8871 | TSE:8804 | TSE:3484 | TSE:3495 | TSE:3003 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.0% | -8.2% | 8.7% | NM- | 11.6% | 13.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 30.3% | -13.4% | 10.7% | NM- | 17.1% | 12.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 71.2% | 24.0% | -24.2% | 66.5% | 20.6% | 14.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.9% | 26.5% | 17.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 27.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.1% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 32.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.4% | 25.7% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 27.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.2% | 28.7% | NA | NA | 9.7% | 24.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.02x | 3.23x | 4.08x | 0.74x | 0.84x | 4.11x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.2x | 10.1x | 18.3x | 7.6x | 6.9x | 15.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 0.3x | 11.3x | 24.8x | 7.8x | 8.7x | 16.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 0.3x | 8.7x | 24.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 14.8x | 16.2x | 21.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 15.8x | 16.6x | 17.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 169,492 | 169,492 | 169,492 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,678,136 | 2,819,091 | 2,960,045 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,612,226) | (1,612,226) | (1,612,226) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,065,910 | 1,206,865 | 1,347,819 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 759.3 | 759.3 | 759.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,403.77 | 1,589.40 | 1,775.03 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,403.77 | 1,589.40 | 1,775.03 | 1,571.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -10.6% | 1.2% | 13.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 5078 | 8871 | 8804 | 3484 | 3495 | 3003 | |
| Enterprise Value | 569 | 107,739 | 1,609,897 | 13,078 | 9,743 | 2,805,118 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 17,634 | 70,992 | 147,758 | 4,179 | 2,743 | 169,700 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 907 | 17,861 | 177,441 | 0 | 640 | 463,499 | |
| (-) Debt | (207) | (81,100) | (1,347,516) | (153) | (6,156) | (2,226,029) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (11,555) | (11) | 0 | (19,396) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 18,903 | 115,492 | 576,025 | 17,092 | 6,970 | 1,192,892 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.4 | 33.2 | 207.7 | 16.8 | 2.8 | 759.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5,580.00 | 3,475.00 | 2,773.00 | 1,019.00 | 2,525.00 | 1,571.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5,580.00 | 3,475.00 | 2,773.00 | 1,019.00 | 2,525.00 | 1,571.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |