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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 77.7x - 85.9x | 81.8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.3x - 8.1x | 7.7x |
| Fair Value | ¥672.88 - ¥760.73 | ¥716.80 |
| Upside | -28.3% - -19.0% | -23.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
| Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd | 2916 | TSE:2916 |
| Key Coffee Inc. | 2594 | TSE:2594 |
| Kakiyasu Honten Co., Ltd. | 2294 | TSE:2294 |
| DyDo Group Holdings, Inc. | 2590 | TSE:2590 |
| Ohmoriya Co.,Ltd. | 2917 | TSE:2917 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2904 | 2916 | 2594 | 2294 | 2590 | 2917 | ||
| TSE:2904 | TSE:2916 | TSE:2594 | TSE:2294 | TSE:2590 | TSE:2917 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -1.1% | -8.5% | 8.7% | NM- | 10.6% | -5.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -10.2% | -13.9% | NM- | NM- | 1.5% | -16.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 249.6% | 42.0% | 22.4% | NM | 28.3% | -88.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 3.8% | -0.3% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.64x | 0.25x | 0.61x | 0.57x | 0.29x | 0.33x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 2.8x | 25.2x | 8.7x | 4.4x | 20.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.1x | 6.1x | 53.3x | 11.4x | 14.6x | 114.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.1x | 14.6x | 53.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.7x | 11.4x | 20.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 77.7x | 81.8x | 85.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 48 | 48 | 48 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,729 | 3,925 | 4,122 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (807) | (807) | (807) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,922 | 3,118 | 3,315 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 585.40 | 624.72 | 664.03 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 585.40 | 624.72 | 664.03 | 939.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -37.7% | -33.5% | -29.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2904 | 2916 | 2594 | 2294 | 2590 | 2917 | |
| Enterprise Value | 22,264 | 4,641 | 46,830 | 21,010 | 69,728 | 5,494 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,201 | 3,179 | 5,222 | 7,032 | 41,460 | 1,781 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,117 | 4,072 | 3,877 | 1,459 | 19,836 | 674 | |
| (-) Debt | (11,360) | (3,911) | (10,344) | 0 | (35,068) | (3,262) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (103) | (12) | (318) | 0 | (1,592) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 14,119 | 7,969 | 45,267 | 29,501 | 94,364 | 4,687 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.4 | 11.4 | 21.4 | 9.6 | 31.6 | 5.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 767.00 | 700.00 | 2,114.00 | 3,080.00 | 2,986.00 | 939.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 767.00 | 700.00 | 2,114.00 | 3,080.00 | 2,986.00 | 939.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |