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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.6x - 4.0x | 3.8x |
| Fair Value | ¥2,723 - ¥3,178 | ¥2,950 |
| Upside | 14.0% - 33.1% | 23.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Solid State System Co., Ltd. | 3259 | TPEX:3259 |
| THine Electronics, Inc. | 6769 | TSE:6769 |
| Micron Technology, Inc. | MU_KZ | KAS:MU_KZ |
| Intel Corporation | 4335 | SEHK:4335 |
| Kuramoto Co., Ltd. | 5216 | TSE:5216 |
| Kioxia Holdings Corporation | 285A | TSE:285A |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3259 | 6769 | MU_KZ | 4335 | 5216 | 285A | ||
| TPEX:3259 | TSE:6769 | KAS:MU_KZ | SEHK:4335 | TSE:5216 | TSE:285A | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | -19.5% | -6.9% | -25.7% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | -42.9% | -11.6% | -39.4% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -25.9% | -30.2% | 289.4% | -30.8% | NM | 402.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -29.2% | 4.4% | 39.2% | 32.2% | 13.8% | 6.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -23.1% | 3.4% | 14.2% | 20.0% | NA | NA | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -67.0% | 2.6% | 35.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% | NA | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -87.1% | 2.6% | 45.0% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 46.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 6.62x | 0.45x | 3.27x | 2.38x | 6.60x | 1.28x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -7.6x | 17.2x | 7.3x | 16.8x | 47.9x | 2.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -7.0x | 89.6x | 16.7x | -33.0x | 108.9x | 4.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -7.6x | 16.8x | 47.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.0x | NM | 0.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 3.1x | 3.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 774,885 | 774,885 | 774,885 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,275,102 | 2,394,844 | 2,514,586 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (865,696) | (865,696) | (865,696) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,409,406 | 1,529,148 | 1,648,890 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 539.1 | 539.1 | 539.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,614.55 | 2,836.68 | 3,058.81 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2,614.55 | 2,836.68 | 3,058.81 | 2,388.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 9.5% | 18.8% | 28.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3259 | 6769 | MU_KZ | 4335 | 5216 | 285A | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,824 | 2,061 | 104,701 | 130,507 | 10,464 | 2,152,977 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 97 | 7,306 | 8,215 | 22,062 | 0 | 174,300 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 503 | 1,571 | 5,383 | 0 | 7,213 | |
| (-) Debt | (82) | 0 | (15,023) | (50,706) | 0 | (1,047,068) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (130) | 0 | (5,762) | 0 | (141) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,839 | 9,740 | 99,464 | 101,484 | 10,464 | 1,287,281 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 73.0 | 10.7 | 1,117.6 | 6,580.5 | 48.0 | 539.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 25.20 | 912.00 | 89.00 | 15.42 | 218.00 | 2,388.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 25.20 | 912.00 | 89.00 | 120.00 | 218.00 | 2,388.00 | |
| Trading Currency | TWD | JPY | USD | HKD | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |