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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
Fair Value | ¥1,412 - ¥1,522 | ¥1,467 |
Upside | -22.8% - -16.8% | -19.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Mizuno Corporation | 8022 | TSE:8022 |
Yamaha Corporation | 7951 | TSE:7951 |
Globeride, Inc. | 7990 | TSE:7990 |
Roland Corporation | 7944 | TSE:7944 |
Daikoku Denki Co., Ltd. | 6430 | TSE:6430 |
Tsuburaya Fields Holdings Inc. | 2767 | TSE:2767 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
8022 | 7951 | 7990 | 7944 | 6430 | 2767 | |||
TSE:8022 | TSE:7951 | TSE:7990 | TSE:7944 | TSE:6430 | TSE:2767 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 5.2% | 1.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 22.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | 15.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 32.4% | 54.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.9% | 3.7% | -1.1% | -2.9% | 10.7% | -22.7% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 4.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 22.3% | 8.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 10.0% | NA | 7.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.43x | 0.79x | 0.44x | 1.04x | 0.43x | 0.78x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 29.4x | 9.5x | 9.9x | 10.4x | 2.1x | 10.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.55x | 1.16x | 0.37x | 1.01x | 0.67x | 0.98x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.43x | 0.79x | 2.43x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -0.17x | 0.09x | 1.01x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.59x | 0.62x | 0.65x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 116,481 | 116,481 | 116,481 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 68,222 | 71,813 | 75,403 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 22,738 | 22,738 | 22,738 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 90,960 | 94,551 | 98,141 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 62.2 | 62.2 | 62.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1,462.24 | 1,519.96 | 1,577.68 | |||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,462.24 | 1,519.96 | 1,577.68 | 1,828.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -20.0% | -16.9% | -13.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 8022 | 7951 | 7990 | 7944 | 6430 | 2767 | |
Enterprise Value | 172,756 | 374,874 | 54,685 | 103,197 | 25,127 | 90,975 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 33,044 | 120,489 | 11,573 | 14,478 | 13,970 | 25,235 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 9,607 | 70,784 | 6,677 | 3,374 | 0 | 16,338 | |
(-) Debt | (13,470) | (16,248) | (27,283) | (20,442) | 0 | (14,023) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (726) | (1,326) | (226) | (262) | (0) | (4,812) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 201,211 | 548,573 | 45,426 | 100,345 | 39,097 | 113,713 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 76.7 | 455.2 | 23.0 | 26.1 | 14.3 | 62.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2,622.00 | 1,205.00 | 1,976.00 | 3,840.00 | 2,740.00 | 1,828.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,622.00 | 1,205.00 | 1,976.00 | 3,840.00 | 2,740.00 | 1,828.00 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |