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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 7.5x - 8.2x | 7.9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 23.9x - 26.4x | 25.1x |
Fair Value | ¥3,443 - ¥3,746 | ¥3,595 |
Upside | -1.5% - 7.2% | 2.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Imuraya Group Co., Ltd. | 2209 | TSE:2209 |
Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. | 2903 | TSE:2903 |
Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
Kameda Seika Co.,Ltd. | 2220 | TSE:2220 |
Maruha Nichiro Corporation | 1333 | TSE:1333 |
Mitsui DM Sugar Holdings Co., Ltd. | 2109 | TSE:2109 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
2209 | 2903 | 2904 | 2220 | 1333 | 2109 | ||
TSE:2209 | TSE:2903 | TSE:2904 | TSE:2220 | TSE:1333 | TSE:2109 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 12.4% | 16.9% | -1.1% | -3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | |
3Y CAGR | 49.9% | 29.3% | -10.2% | -7.5% | 17.9% | 5.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 26.4% | -7.1% | 249.6% | 75.9% | 5.3% | 485.1% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.5% | 3.7% | -0.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 7.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.58x | 0.20x | 0.63x | 0.97x | 0.37x | 0.53x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 2.9x | 7.1x | 8.3x | 8.3x | 4.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 9.8x | 4.9x | 15.9x | 17.1x | 13.6x | 7.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.9x | 13.6x | 17.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 11.8x | 54.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 7.5x | 7.9x | 8.2x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 13,388 | 13,388 | 13,388 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 99,868 | 105,124 | 110,380 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 18,187 | 18,187 | 18,187 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 118,055 | 123,311 | 128,567 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 32.3 | 32.3 | 32.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 3,657.26 | 3,820.09 | 3,982.93 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3,657.26 | 3,820.09 | 3,982.93 | 3,495.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 4.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2209 | 2903 | 2904 | 2220 | 1333 | 2109 | |
Enterprise Value | 29,529 | 10,990 | 22,006 | 96,754 | 393,702 | 94,630 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,844 | 6,380 | 1,201 | 9,562 | 45,697 | 39,847 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4,150 | 630 | 2,117 | 0 | 75,093 | 32,560 | |
(-) Debt | (2,600) | (6,458) | (11,360) | (21,561) | (304,489) | (49,259) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (5) | (6) | (103) | 0 | (43,282) | (4,961) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 32,918 | 11,536 | 13,861 | 84,755 | 166,721 | 112,817 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 13.1 | 11.9 | 18.4 | 21.1 | 50.4 | 32.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2,516.00 | 970.00 | 753.00 | 4,020.00 | 3,310.00 | 3,495.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,516.00 | 970.00 | 753.00 | 4,020.00 | 3,310.00 | 3,495.00 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |