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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.5x - 0.5x | 0.5x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.5x |
| Fair Value | ¥1,436 - ¥1,587 | ¥1,512 |
| Upside | -16.4% - -7.6% | -12.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Yakult Honsha Co.,Ltd. | 226,700.0% | TSE:2267 |
| WELLNEO SUGAR Co., Ltd. | 211,700.0% | TSE:2117 |
| Starzen Company Limited | 804,300.0% | TSE:8043 |
| Nissui Corporation | 133,200.0% | TSE:1332 |
| Imuraya Group Co., Ltd. | 220,900.0% | TSE:2209 |
| HOB Co.,Ltd. | 138,200.0% | TSE:1382 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 2267 | 2117 | 8043 | 1332 | 2209 | 1382 | |||
| TSE:2267 | TSE:2117 | TSE:8043 | TSE:1332 | TSE:2209 | TSE:1382 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | -6.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 9.3% | 28.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | -6.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | -5.2% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.6x | 4.4x | 6.7x | 7.6x | 5.2x | 17.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.8x | 0.8x | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.6x | 0.6x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 17.4x | 12.3x | 10.0x | 11.4x | 13.3x | 57.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.6x | 1.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.7x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 2,375 | 2,375 | 2,375 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,099 | 1,157 | 1,215 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,443.42 | 1,519.38 | 1,595.35 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,443.42 | 1,519.38 | 1,595.35 | 1,717.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -15.9% | -11.5% | -7.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2267 | 2117 | 8043 | 1332 | 2209 | 1382 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 893,762 | 74,962 | 71,472 | 264,480 | 30,785 | 1,308 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 300.5 | 32.4 | 58.4 | 310.8 | 13.1 | 0.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,974.00 | 2,313.00 | 1,223.00 | 850.90 | 2,353.00 | 1,717.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,974.00 | 2,313.00 | 1,223.00 | 850.90 | 2,353.00 | 1,717.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |