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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.2x - 3.5x | 3.4x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.8x - 3.1x | 2.9x |
Fair Value | NT$ 51.95 - NT$ 57.17 | NT$ 54.56 |
Upside | -14.4% - -5.8% | -10.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Shuz Tung Machinery Industrial Co., Ltd. | 4537 | TPEX:4537 |
Gmt Global Inc. | 4573 | TPEX:4573 |
Tbi Motion Technology Co., Ltd. | 4540 | TWSE:4540 |
De Poan Pneumatic Corp. | 1570 | TPEX:1570 |
Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd. | 8421 | TPEX:8421 |
Asia Neo Tech Industrial Co.,Ltd. | 4542 | TPEX:4542 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
4537 | 4573 | 4540 | 1570 | 8421 | 4542 | |||
TPEX:4537 | TPEX:4573 | TWSE:4540 | TPEX:1570 | TPEX:8421 | TPEX:4542 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -10.7% | -11.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | -1.5% | -5.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | -12.1% | -7.3% | -11.3% | 1.8% | -1.7% | -7.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -63.5% | 14.5% | -10.8% | 85.5% | 3.7% | -35.0% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 0.3% | -10.4% | 0.6% | 12.4% | -1.2% | 4.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.7% | -5.1% | -2.8% | 2.4% | -0.1% | 8.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -11.4% | -31.9% | -27.8% | 15.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -48.1% | -14.9% | -27.8% | 15.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.67x | 4.71x | 2.65x | 0.57x | 1.05x | 3.19x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | -5.6x | -31.5x | -9.6x | 3.6x | 37.4x | 114.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.50x | 2.97x | 1.58x | 1.39x | 0.44x | 3.33x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.57x | 2.65x | 4.71x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.75x | 1.32x | 3.19x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.20x | 3.37x | 3.54x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 534 | 534 | 534 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,711 | 1,801 | 1,891 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 76 | 76 | 76 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,787 | 1,877 | 1,967 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 32.3 | 32.3 | 32.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 55.35 | 58.14 | 60.93 | |||||
FX Rate: TWD/TWD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 55.35 | 58.14 | 60.93 | 60.70 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -8.8% | -4.2% | 0.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 4537 | 4573 | 4540 | 1570 | 8421 | 4542 | |
Enterprise Value | 2,529 | 2,435 | 6,445 | 519 | 1,343 | 1,884 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,391 | 55 | 733 | 510 | 86 | 482 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 89 | 97 | 29 | 121 | |
(-) Debt | (1,550) | (952) | (3,283) | (10) | (827) | (521) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | (34) | (6) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,369 | 1,539 | 3,984 | 1,115 | 597 | 1,960 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 78.8 | 36.7 | 109.1 | 51.5 | 54.2 | 32.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 30.05 | 41.95 | 36.50 | 21.65 | 11.00 | 60.70 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 30.05 | 41.95 | 36.50 | 21.65 | 11.00 | 60.70 | |
Trading Currency | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |