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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12.7x - 14.1x | 13.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4.8x - 5.3x | 5.0x |
| Fair Value | ₪70.34 - ₪80.30 | ₪75.32 |
| Upside | 68.7% - 92.6% | 80.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Ithaca Energy plc | ITH | LSE:ITH |
| Pharos Energy plc | PHAR | LSE:PHAR |
| Serica Energy plc | SQZ | AIM:SQZ |
| Harbour Energy plc | HBR | LSE:HBR |
| Shell plc | SHEL | LSE:SHEL |
| Energean plc | ENOG | TASE:ENOG |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| ITH | PHAR | SQZ | HBR | SHEL | ENOG | ||
| LSE:ITH | LSE:PHAR | AIM:SQZ | LSE:HBR | LSE:SHEL | TASE:ENOG | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 105.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 7.3% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -22.2% | 2.9% | -18.9% | 41.3% | 10.5% | 157.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 235.8% | 420.3% | -71.3% | 297.3% | -10.5% | 2.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 27.8% | -6.1% | 34.4% | 20.8% | 9.0% | -37.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.9% | -12.5% | 47.1% | 24.0% | 10.9% | 38.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 22.7% | 49.8% | 24.4% | 25.1% | 11.8% | 29.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 31.7% | 49.8% | 16.6% | 31.9% | 11.0% | 29.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.20x | 0.79x | 1.68x | 1.19x | 0.84x | 4.31x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.0x | 1.2x | 3.9x | 1.8x | 4.7x | 6.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.9x | 1.6x | 10.1x | 3.7x | 7.6x | 14.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 1.6x | 6.9x | 10.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -265.3x | 14.6x | 27.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.7x | 13.4x | 14.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 388 | 388 | 388 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,937 | 5,197 | 5,457 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,322) | (1,322) | (1,322) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,615 | 3,875 | 4,135 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 184.3 | 184.3 | 184.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.62 | 21.03 | 22.44 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/ILS | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 66.28 | 71.05 | 75.81 | 41.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 59.0% | 70.4% | 81.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ITH | PHAR | SQZ | HBR | SHEL | ENOG | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,804 | 100 | 958 | 11,444 | 229,150 | 3,596 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 258 | 17 | 174 | 2,735 | 32,682 | 193 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 25,681 | 1,770 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,080) | (0) | (225) | (7,013) | (75,675) | (3,285) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (1,970) | (1,951) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,982 | 116 | 907 | 5,208 | 209,887 | 2,274 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,647.4 | 411.8 | 393.0 | 1,681.3 | 5,864.1 | 184.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.42 | 0.28 | 2.31 | 3.10 | 35.79 | 12.34 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 0.30 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.78 | 0.21 | 1.70 | 2.28 | 26.39 | 41.70 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | ILS | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 0.30 | |