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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 6.7x - 7.4x | 7.1x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 5.5x - 6.1x | 5.8x |
Fair Value | ₪117.33 - ₪128.33 | ₪122.83 |
Upside | -29.1% - -22.4% | -25.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Tamar Petroleum Ltd | TMRP | TASE:TMRP |
Vår Energi AS | 0AAY | LSE:0AAY |
The Reserve Petroleum Company | RSRV | PINC:RSRV |
Delek Logistics Partners, LP | DKL | NYSE:DKL |
Unit Corporation | UNTC | PINC:UNTC |
Cohen Development Gas & Oil Ltd. | CDEV | TASE:CDEV |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TMRP | 0AAY | RSRV | DKL | UNTC | CDEV | |||
TASE:TMRP | LSE:0AAY | PINC:RSRV | NYSE:DKL | PINC:UNTC | TASE:CDEV | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -2.0% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 10.0% | -18.8% | 25.0% | ||
3Y CAGR | 9.4% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | -28.1% | 25.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 12.5% | 8.7% | 20.1% | -7.8% | -27.4% | 11.9% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 51.4% | 51.2% | -6.5% | 25.3% | 14.2% | 89.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 41.7% | 53.0% | -10.2% | 24.7% | 38.6% | 86.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 40.3% | 48.9% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 23.5% | 88.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 40.3% | 49.7% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 23.5% | 88.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 5.61x | 1.64x | 0.80x | 3.95x | 0.88x | 9.35x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 13.9x | 3.3x | 5.4x | 18.9x | 3.7x | 10.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.19x | 0.96x | 1.51x | 2.29x | 1.07x | 10.15x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.80x | 1.64x | 5.61x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 6.28x | 8.61x | 14.86x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 6.71x | 7.06x | 7.41x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 29 | 29 | 29 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 194 | 204 | 215 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 23 | 23 | 23 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 217 | 227 | 237 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 33.70 | 35.29 | 36.88 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/ILS | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 122.47 | 128.25 | 134.02 | 165.40 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -26.0% | -22.5% | -19.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TMRP | 0AAY | RSRV | DKL | UNTC | CDEV | |
Enterprise Value | 1,473 | 11,816 | 12 | 3,716 | 208 | 270 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 64 | 661 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 11 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1 | 6 | 317 | 0 | 12 | |
(-) Debt | (699) | (5,570) | (1) | (1,888) | (4) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 837 | 6,908 | 23 | 2,151 | 252 | 293 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 88.6 | 2,496.4 | 0.2 | 53.7 | 10.0 | 6.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 9.44 | 2.77 | 151.10 | 40.08 | 25.37 | 45.52 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.28 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.28 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 34.32 | 28.69 | 151.10 | 40.08 | 25.37 | 165.40 | |
Trading Currency | ILS | NOK | USD | USD | USD | ILS | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.28 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.28 |