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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.9x - 2.0x | 1.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Fair Value | ¥26.69 - ¥27.98 | ¥27.33 |
| Upside | 4.0% - 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Linhai Co.,Ltd. | 600099 | SHSE:600099 |
| Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited | 489 | SEHK:489 |
| Loncin Motor Co., Ltd. | 603766 | SHSE:603766 |
| BAIC Motor Corporation Limited | 1958 | SEHK:1958 |
| Zhejiang Taotao Vehicles Co., Ltd. | 301345 | SZSE:301345 |
| Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology Co., LTD | 301322 | SZSE:301322 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 600099 | 489 | 603766 | 1958 | 301345 | 301322 | |||
| SHSE:600099 | SEHK:489 | SHSE:603766 | SEHK:1958 | SZSE:301345 | SZSE:301322 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.7% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 28.3% | 27.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 7.7% | -2.1% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 15.7% | 24.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 51.2% | 6.9% | 29.7% | -2.8% | 58.2% | -20.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 0.6% | -7.0% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 18.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.7% | -10.6% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 22.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.4% | -7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 22.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.4% | -7.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 15.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.78x | 0.01x | 1.14x | 0.07x | 2.18x | 1.83x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 126.7x | -0.1x | 18.4x | 0.7x | 14.3x | 11.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.97x | 0.33x | 1.47x | 0.08x | 2.55x | 4.17x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.01x | 1.14x | 2.18x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.94x | 1.94x | 1.94x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.85x | 1.95x | 2.05x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 877 | 877 | 877 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,623 | 1,708 | 1,794 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2,053 | 2,053 | 2,053 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,676 | 3,761 | 3,847 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 142.4 | 142.4 | 142.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 25.82 | 26.42 | 27.02 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 25.82 | 26.42 | 27.02 | 25.67 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 600099 | 489 | 603766 | 1958 | 301345 | 301322 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,874 | (56,891) | 18,102 | (3,780) | 6,587 | 1,602 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 196 | 96,567 | 5,806 | 33,598 | 1,708 | 1,866 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 27 | 57,468 | 14 | 16,386 | 0 | 187 | |
| (-) Debt | (30) | (56,923) | (337) | (8,947) | (590) | (0) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (5,507) | (155) | (21,167) | (0) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,066 | 34,714 | 23,431 | 16,091 | 7,705 | 3,655 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 219.1 | 8,225.1 | 2,053.5 | 8,015.3 | 108.6 | 142.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 9.43 | 4.22 | 11.41 | 2.01 | 70.93 | 25.67 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.43 | 4.52 | 11.41 | 2.15 | 70.93 | 25.67 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |