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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 68.6x - 75.8x | 72.2x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 34.7x - 38.4x | 36.5x |
Fair Value | ¥53.60 - ¥59.33 | ¥56.47 |
Upside | 23.2% - 36.4% | 29.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
PowerTECH Co., Ltd. | 301369 | SZSE:301369 |
Beijing Huafeng Test & Control Technology Co.,Ltd. | 688200 | SHSE:688200 |
Teradyne, Inc. | TER | NasdaqGS:TER |
Shenzhen Xinyichang Technology Co., Ltd. | 688383 | SHSE:688383 |
SG Micro Corp | 300661 | SZSE:300661 |
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd | 300604 | SZSE:300604 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
301369 | 688200 | TER | 688383 | 300661 | 300604 | ||
SZSE:301369 | SHSE:688200 | NasdaqGS:TER | SHSE:688383 | SZSE:300661 | SZSE:300604 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 24.5% | 0.5% | -14.4% | 22.4% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -10.1% | -20.6% | -41.6% | -5.8% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -166.8% | 51.1% | 6.5% | -41.8% | 66.4% | 738.5% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 20.9% | 45.0% | 30.0% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 9.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 35.6% | 34.1% | 23.4% | 8.7% | 27.2% | 17.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -3.9% | 39.3% | 23.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | -0.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -3.7% | 39.3% | 23.7% | 5.6% | 12.8% | 16.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 10.91x | 18.45x | 4.57x | 5.81x | 12.38x | 9.01x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -298.8x | 46.9x | 19.3x | 102.8x | 96.7x | 53.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -180.9x | 50.4x | 23.5x | 192.1x | 118.4x | 60.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -298.8x | 46.9x | 102.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -830.5x | 175.6x | 391.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 68.6x | 72.2x | 75.8x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 519 | 519 | 519 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 35,555 | 37,426 | 39,298 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (493) | (493) | (493) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 35,062 | 36,934 | 38,805 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 626.8 | 626.8 | 626.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 55.94 | 58.93 | 61.91 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 55.94 | 58.93 | 61.91 | 43.50 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 28.6% | 35.5% | 42.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 301369 | 688200 | TER | 688383 | 300661 | 300604 | |
Enterprise Value | 3,194 | 16,601 | 13,010 | 5,426 | 39,363 | 27,758 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 649 | 2,169 | 600 | 194 | 2,059 | 1,036 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 5 | 317 | 619 | 0 | 626 | 182 | |
(-) Debt | (1) | (15) | (77) | (774) | (91) | (1,098) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (9) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | (613) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,838 | 19,072 | 14,152 | 4,846 | 41,969 | 27,265 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 69.6 | 135.3 | 161.7 | 101.8 | 472.0 | 626.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 55.11 | 141.00 | 87.51 | 47.60 | 88.92 | 43.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 55.11 | 141.00 | 87.51 | 47.60 | 88.92 | 43.50 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | USD | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |