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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 54.4x - 60.1x | 57.3x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 28.3x - 31.3x | 29.8x |
Fair Value | ¥35.91 - ¥39.78 | ¥37.85 |
Upside | -4.8% - 5.4% | 0.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
PowerTECH Co., Ltd. | 301369 | SZSE:301369 |
Beijing Huafeng Test & Control Technology Co.,Ltd. | 688200 | SHSE:688200 |
Teradyne, Inc. | TER | NasdaqGS:TER |
Shenzhen Xinyichang Technology Co., Ltd. | 688383 | SHSE:688383 |
SG Micro Corp | 300661 | SZSE:300661 |
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd | 300604 | SZSE:300604 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
301369 | 688200 | TER | 688383 | 300661 | 300604 | ||
SZSE:301369 | SHSE:688200 | NasdaqGS:TER | SHSE:688383 | SZSE:300661 | SZSE:300604 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 22.2% | 0.7% | -23.4% | 16.0% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -13.1% | -23.2% | -51.8% | -14.4% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -262.1% | 47.8% | 6.2% | -57.3% | 85.3% | 1666.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 19.2% | 43.3% | 26.1% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 7.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 34.4% | 31.1% | 19.3% | 6.4% | 25.6% | 16.0% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -6.4% | 35.0% | 19.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | -3.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -6.0% | 35.0% | 19.4% | 3.0% | 10.5% | 14.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 8.42x | 17.05x | 3.45x | 4.87x | 12.50x | 7.84x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -230.6x | 45.5x | 14.6x | 86.3x | 97.6x | 46.9x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -139.6x | 48.7x | 17.7x | 161.2x | 119.5x | 52.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -139.6x | 48.7x | 161.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -607.9x | 201.2x | 925.9x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 54.4x | 57.3x | 60.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 462 | 462 | 462 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 25,132 | 26,455 | 27,777 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (493) | (493) | (493) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 24,639 | 25,962 | 27,285 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 626.8 | 626.8 | 626.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 39.31 | 41.42 | 43.53 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 39.31 | 41.42 | 43.53 | 37.73 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 4.2% | 9.8% | 15.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 301369 | 688200 | TER | 688383 | 300661 | 300604 | |
Enterprise Value | 2,463 | 15,438 | 9,849 | 4,555 | 39,741 | 24,141 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 649 | 2,212 | 600 | 194 | 2,059 | 1,036 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 5 | 391 | 619 | 0 | 626 | 182 | |
(-) Debt | (1) | (15) | (77) | (774) | (91) | (1,098) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (9) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | (613) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,108 | 18,027 | 10,990 | 3,976 | 42,346 | 23,649 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 69.6 | 135.3 | 161.7 | 101.8 | 472.0 | 626.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 44.62 | 133.27 | 67.96 | 39.05 | 89.72 | 37.73 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 44.62 | 133.27 | 67.96 | 39.05 | 89.72 | 37.73 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | USD | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |