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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 25.2x - 27.9x | 26.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.8x - 8.6x | 8.2x |
| Fair Value | ¥7.40 - ¥8.18 | ¥7.79 |
| Upside | 55.6% - 71.9% | 63.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd. | 301151 | SZSE:301151 |
| Nanjing Inform Storage Equipment (Group) Co., Ltd. | 603066 | SHSE:603066 |
| WELLE Environmental Group Co.,Ltd | 300190 | SZSE:300190 |
| Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd | 300509 | SZSE:300509 |
| Hwaway Technology Corporation Limited | 1380 | SZSE:001380 |
| Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd | 300021 | SZSE:300021 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 301151 | 603066 | 300190 | 300509 | 1380 | 300021 | ||
| SZSE:301151 | SHSE:603066 | SZSE:300190 | SZSE:300509 | SZSE:001380 | SZSE:300021 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -12.8% | NM- | NM- | 1.3% | 42.2% | -1.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -19.8% | NM- | NM- | -16.0% | 45.5% | -0.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.3% | 42.3% | -163.2% | -7.3% | 39.9% | 29.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 16.8% | 6.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.7% | 15.5% | -3.4% | 4.3% | 15.7% | 7.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.4% | 15.5% | -4.6% | 5.0% | 15.7% | 7.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.86x | 2.06x | 2.04x | 1.79x | 2.97x | 1.30x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.9x | 13.0x | -44.3x | 36.0x | 19.0x | 18.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.9x | 14.7x | -12.4x | 65.2x | 22.9x | 22.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -44.3x | 13.9x | 36.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.6x | 19.7x | 22.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.2x | 26.5x | 27.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 307 | 307 | 307 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,735 | 8,142 | 8,549 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,735 | 8,142 | 8,549 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 844.0 | 844.0 | 844.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.16 | 9.65 | 10.13 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.16 | 9.65 | 10.13 | 4.76 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 92.5% | 102.7% | 112.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 301151 | 603066 | 300190 | 300509 | 1380 | 300021 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,719 | 2,978 | 4,113 | 1,935 | 5,533 | 4,017 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,159 | 420 | 430 | 689 | 486 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 20 | 566 | 15 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (200) | (205) | (2,661) | (307) | (127) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (7) | (115) | (32) | (21) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,679 | 3,207 | 2,333 | 2,300 | 5,870 | 4,017 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 170.3 | 294.2 | 750.2 | 296.4 | 182.4 | 844.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 15.73 | 10.90 | 3.11 | 7.76 | 32.18 | 4.76 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.73 | 10.90 | 3.11 | 7.76 | 32.18 | 4.76 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |