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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9.1x - 10.0x | 9.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.3x - 8.1x | 7.7x |
| Fair Value | ¥7.89 - ¥8.81 | ¥8.35 |
| Upside | 31.1% - 46.4% | 38.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Guangdong Tengen Industrial Group Co.,Ltd. | 3003 | SZSE:003003 |
| ORG Technology Co.,Ltd. | 2701 | SZSE:002701 |
| Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group Co., Ltd. | 600210 | SHSE:600210 |
| Xi'an Global Printing Co., Ltd. | 2799 | SZSE:002799 |
| Zhejiang Jingxing Paper Joint Stock Co., Ltd. | 2067 | SZSE:002067 |
| Sunrise Group Company Limited | 2752 | SZSE:002752 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3003 | 2701 | 600210 | 2799 | 2067 | 2752 | ||
| SZSE:003003 | SZSE:002701 | SHSE:600210 | SZSE:002799 | SZSE:002067 | SZSE:002752 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.5% | 1.1% | 4.0% | NM- | -15.1% | 30.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 9.9% | -5.4% | 0.3% | NM- | -18.6% | 36.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.6% | 4.0% | 8.7% | -316.5% | 64.5% | 31.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.9% | -8.9% | 5.9% | 12.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.1% | -11.0% | 7.8% | 13.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.51x | 0.86x | 1.15x | 1.50x | 0.99x | 0.98x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.8x | 7.1x | 8.2x | -13.7x | 12.7x | 7.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 26.2x | 10.4x | 12.1x | -11.8x | 53.8x | 11.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -13.7x | 8.2x | 15.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.4x | 13.0x | 30.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 9.6x | 10.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 956 | 956 | 956 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,689 | 9,146 | 9,604 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (817) | (817) | (817) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,873 | 8,330 | 8,787 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 976.9 | 976.9 | 976.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.06 | 8.53 | 8.99 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.06 | 8.53 | 8.99 | 6.02 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 33.9% | 41.6% | 49.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3003 | 2701 | 600210 | 2799 | 2067 | 2752 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,786 | 12,080 | 10,345 | 2,225 | 5,387 | 6,698 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 353 | 3,280 | 2,329 | 504 | 1,214 | 1,231 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 3,070 | 1,741 | 110 | 362 | 41 | |
| (-) Debt | (362) | (5,037) | (3,600) | (335) | (2,039) | (2,021) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 1 | (281) | (456) | (10) | (9) | (68) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,778 | 13,113 | 10,359 | 2,493 | 4,915 | 5,881 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 175.2 | 2,546.3 | 1,516.7 | 320.0 | 1,241.2 | 976.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 10.15 | 5.15 | 6.83 | 7.79 | 3.96 | 6.02 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 10.15 | 5.15 | 6.83 | 7.79 | 3.96 | 6.02 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |