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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 2,064.5x - 2,281.8x | 2,173.1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14.9x - 16.4x | 15.6x |
Fair Value | ¥8.29 - ¥8.94 | ¥8.61 |
Upside | -11.5% - -4.6% | -8.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Ganyuan Foods Co., Ltd. | 2991 | SZSE:002991 |
Zhengwei Group Holdings Company Limited | 2147 | SEHK:2147 |
Jiangsu Chinagreen Biological Technology Group Co., Ltd. | 300970 | SZSE:300970 |
HaiXin Foods Co.,Ltd | 2702 | SZSE:002702 |
Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd. | 895 | SZSE:000895 |
Jiangxi Huangshanghuang Group Food Co., Ltd. | 2695 | SZSE:002695 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
2991 | 2147 | 300970 | 2702 | 895 | 2695 | ||
SZSE:002991 | SEHK:2147 | SZSE:300970 | SZSE:002702 | SZSE:000895 | SZSE:002695 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 18.5% | NM- | -12.2% | -11.9% | -0.2% | -27.2% | |
3Y CAGR | 19.5% | NM- | -38.8% | -50.5% | 2.8% | -48.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 13.2% | -132.1% | -202.4% | -168.6% | 4.9% | -95.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 16.0% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 10.2% | 5.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.8% | 18.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 10.5% | 1.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 18.4% | -4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 11.0% | 2.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 18.1% | -4.5% | -8.2% | -1.2% | 11.0% | 0.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.87x | -0.19x | 2.04x | 1.32x | 1.58x | 2.25x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.1x | 7.3x | 38.2x | 83.9x | 11.5x | 63.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 15.9x | 4.3x | -24.9x | -108.4x | 14.3x | 2679.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -108.4x | 4.3x | 15.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 29.6x | 41.8x | 275.4x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 2064.5x | 2173.1x | 2281.8x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,108 | 3,272 | 3,435 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,184 | 1,184 | 1,184 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 4,292 | 4,456 | 4,620 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 556.9 | 556.9 | 556.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 7.71 | 8.00 | 8.29 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.71 | 8.00 | 8.29 | 9.37 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -17.7% | -14.6% | -11.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2991 | 2147 | 300970 | 2702 | 895 | 2695 | |
Enterprise Value | 6,134 | (116) | 1,997 | 2,276 | 93,928 | 4,034 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 790 | 151 | 337 | 223 | 8,549 | 1,212 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 267 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (52) | (0) | (600) | (405) | (8,125) | (24) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (25) | (33) | (207) | (4) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,872 | 36 | 1,709 | 2,067 | 94,412 | 5,219 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 91.6 | 1,120.0 | 117.9 | 548.3 | 3,464.7 | 556.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 75.01 | 0.03 | 14.50 | 3.77 | 27.25 | 9.37 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 75.01 | 0.03 | 14.50 | 3.77 | 27.25 | 9.37 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |